Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2844; (P) 1.2888; (R1) 1.2914; More…

GBP/USD is staying in range of 1.2798/2935 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. No change in the bearish outlook with 1.2956 support turned resistance intact. Deeper decline is expected in the pair. On the downside, below 1.1798 minor support will target 1.2661 low first. Break will resume larger fall from 1.4376. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, break of 1.2956 will indicate medium term bottoming. And stronger rebound would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3054) and above.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4091). Current downside acceleration argues that it’s possibly resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. Retest of 1.1946 should be seen next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2455; (P) 1.2507; (R1) 1.2577; More….

GBP/USD’s rally resumes after brief consolidations and hits as high as 1.2582 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. With 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.1958 at 1.2502 firmly taken out, next target is 61.8% retracement at 1.2837. On the downside, below 1.2438 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, we’d remain cautious on medium term bottoming around 1.1946 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.2769) will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1946 with another rise to 1.4376 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.1946 will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1411; (P) 1.1574; (R1) 1.1657; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is mildly on the downside for retesting 1.1404/9 support zone. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 1.1737 minor resistance will resume the rebound from 1.1404 to 55 day EMA (now at 1.1917).

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is probably resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Sustained break of 1.1409 will target 61.8% projection of 1.7190 (2014 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) from 1.4248 (2021 high) at 1.0675. This will remain the favored case for now as long as 1.2292 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2650; (P) 1.2690; (R1) 1.2723; More…

GBP/USD is still bounded in range of 1.2611/2826 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.2611 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2499 support. On the upside, however, above 1.2729 will bring retest of 1.2826 first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.2036.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3045; (P) 1.3117; (R1) 1.3168; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for retest 1.2999 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2900, and then 100% projection at 1.2655. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3297 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2099; (P) 1.2185; (R1) 1.2246; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.2106 and intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.2432 resistance and bring another decline. As noted before, corrective rise from 1.1946 has completed at 1.2774 and larger down trend is possibly resuming. This is supported by the rejection from 55 day EMA. Below 1.2106 will target 1.1946 support. Break there will confirm this bearish case.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2653; (P) 1.2687; (R1) 1.2734; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point, as sideway trading continues. Another fall cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained above 1.2499 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.2784 resistance will suggest that consolidation pattern has completed. Further rise should be seen through 1.2826 to resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target will be 1.3141 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3077; (P) 1.3115; (R1) 1.3168; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook. Price actions from 1.1946 are seen as a corrective pattern. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% projection of 1.2108 to 1.3047 from 1.2588 at 1.3168 to limit upside. Break of 1.2932 support will be the first sign of reversal and will turn bias to the downside to target 1.2588 key support next. Though, sustained break of 1.3168 will bring further rise towards 1.3444 before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a corrective pattern that is still in progress. While further upside is expected, larger outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3444 key resistance holds. Down trend from 1.7190 (2014 high) is expected to resume later after the correction completes. And break of 1.2588 will indicate that such down trend is resuming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2646; (P) 1.2699; (R1) 1.2739; More…

GBP/USD is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias stays neutral. Another fall cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained above 1.2499 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.2784 resistance will suggest that consolidation pattern has completed. Further rise should be seen through 1.2826 to resume the rally from 1.2036. Next target will be 1.3141 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg that’s in progress. Upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2499 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2460; (P) 1.2582; (R1) 1.2648; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. There is no change in the view that rebound form 1.1198 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.1946. Hence, in case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.2774 to limit upside and bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 1.2411 minor support will argue that it’s completed and turn bias to the downside for 1.1946 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2361; (P) 1.2441; (R1) 1.2486; More….

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook. Intraday bias stays on the downside with focus on 1.2391 low. Sustained break will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.2154 next. On the upside, break of 1.2579 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1904; (P) 1.1970; (R1) 1.2016; More…

GBP/USD recovered ahead of 1.1914 support as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 1.1914 will resume the decline from 1.2446, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2445, for 1.1840 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.2142 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for further rebound to 1.2269 and above.

In the bigger picture,as long as 1.1840 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) should still continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. However, decisive break of 1.1840 will complete a double top pattern (1.2445, 1.2446) after rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2251). Deeper decline should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2975; (P) 1.3027; (R1) 1.3053; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Some consolidations could be seen but further fall is expected with 1.3193 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.2999 will target 100% projection of 1.4248 to 1.3158 from 1.3748 at 1.2658 next. However, firm break of 1.3193 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3341; (P) 1.3372; (R1) 1.3414; More…..

GBP/USD is staying in the correction from 1.3549 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. As long as 1.3220 support holds, we’d favor another rise. Break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high next. Break there will resume medium term rally from 1.1946. However, firm break of 1.3220 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.3038 key support level.

In the bigger picture, while the medium term rebound from 1.1946 low was strong, it’s limited below 1.3835 key support turned resistance. As long as 1.3835 holds, we’d view such rebound as a correction. That is, we’d expect another leg in the long term down trend through 1.1946 low. However, sustained break of 1.3835 should at least send GBP/USD to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3016; (P) 1.3094; (R1) 1.3227; More….

The strong rebound and break of 1.3097 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.3350 has completed at 1.2960. More importantly, with near term trend line defended, outlook stays bullish for further rally. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.3350 first. Break will resume the rebound from 1.2391 low to 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. On the downside, again, sustained break of trend line support will argue that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected at 1.3350. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2336; (P) 1.2354; (R1) 1.2373; More…

GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.2306 extends higher today but stays below 1.2468 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further decline is in favor. Break of 1.2306 will resume the fall from 1.2678, as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351, to 1.1801 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2678 at 1.1789). On the upside, however, firm break of 1.2468 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1801 support holds, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759 will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.1801 will indicate rejection by 1.2759, and bring deeper decline, even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2833; (P) 1.2874; (R1) 1.2919; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.2926 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is still in favor. We’re holding on to view that rise from 1.2108 is completed. Below 1.2768 will target 1.2614 resistance turned support next. Break there should also indicate completion of whole consolidation pattern from 1.1946 and target a retest on this low. Meanwhile, above 1.2926 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.3047 high instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. The rejection from 55 week EMA is maintaining bearishness in the pair. Also, at this point, as long as 1.3444 resistance holds, fall from 1.7190 is still expected to continue. Break of above mentioned 1.2614 support will affirm this bearish case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2582; (P) 1.2654; (R1) 1.2703; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rally is expected as long as 1.2590 minor support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2731 will resume the rally from 1.2036 for retesting 1.3141 high next. However, firm break of 1.2590 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 suggests that current rise from 1.2036 is already the second leg. However, while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2425; (P) 1.2469; (R1) 1.2506; More…

A temporary top is formed at 1.2524 and intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2203 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.2524 will target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2664; (P) 1.2664; (R1) 1.2709; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. With 1.2642 minor support intact, corrective rebound from 1.2506 could still extend. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3381 to 1.2506 at 1.2840. On the downside, break of 1.2642 minor support will turn intraday bias back to retest 1.2506 low. However, sustained break of 1.2840 will bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.3047 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 1.2391 would target a test on 1.1946 long term bottom (2016 low). For now, we don’t expect a firm break there yet. Hence, focus will be on bottoming signal as it approaches 1.1946. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.