GBP/USD’s rebound from 1.3711 extended higher last week and break of 1.4144 resistance affirmed the bullish case. That is, pull back from 1.4345 has completed at 1.3711 already. Further rise is expected this week for retesting 1.4345 first. Break there will resume larger up trend and target 61.8% projection of 1.3038 to 1.4345 from 1.3711 at 1.4519 next. Nonetheless, break of 1.3982 will argue that rebound from 1.3711 has completed. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3711 support and possibly below, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.4345.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4259) so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggest that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1946 should at least be correcting the whole long term down trend form 2.1161 and should target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. It too early to tell if it’s developing into a long term up trend. We’ll monitor the upside momentum and reaction to 1.5466 to decide later.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2165; (P) 1.2184; (R1) 1.2205; More….

GBP/USD’s break of 1.2296 minor resistance suggests resumption of rebound from 1.2065. More importantly, corrective pattern from 1.2647 might have completed and rise from 1.1409 might be resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2647 resistance. Break will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.2830 next. On the downside, below 1.2155 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2065 instead.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. Next medium term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.3514 at 1.0273. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3514 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3459; (P) 1.3491; (R1) 1.3536; More…

GBP/USD is still bounded in range below 1.3624 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook is unchanged too. On the upside, firm break of 1.3624 will resume whole rise from 1.1409. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 at 1.3956. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3134 support holds.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3308). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3834; (P) 1.3886; (R1) 1.3985; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.3785 temporary low could extend further. On the downside, break of 1.3785 will resume the fall from 1.3785, as third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.4240, to 1.3668 support and below. On the upside, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.3992) will bring retest of 1.4240/8 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3482 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 1.1409 should still continue. Decisive break of 1.4376 resistance will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. However, firm break of 1.3482 support will argue that the rise from 1.1409 has completed and bring deeper fall to 1.2675 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2464; (P) 1.2492; (R1) 1.2519; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral with focus on 1.2542 resistance. Decisive break there will argue that whole decline from 1.2813 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.2813 high. On the downside, break of 1.2437 minor support will suggest rejection by 1.2542. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2251 support.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

GBP/USD’s sharp decline last week suggests that corrective rebound from 1.2956 has completed at 1.3212 already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.2956. Firm break there will resume larger decline from 1.4376 for 1.2874 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 1.3064 minor resistance will possibly extend the correction from 1.2956 with another rebound through 1.3212. But even in that case, upside should be limited by 1.3362 resistance to bring larger decline resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4141). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3362 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) is viewed as a corrective move, no change in this view. Rejection from 55 month EMA argues that it might be completed already. Larger down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) could extend to a new low. This will now be the preferred case as long as 1.4376 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2883; (P) 1.2929; (R1) 1.3004; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral with focus now back on 1.3001 temporary top. Break there will resume whole rebound from 1.2391 and target 1.3174 resistance, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3149. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. For now, further rise is expected as long as 1.2668 minor support holds, even in case of another retreat. But break of 1.2668 support will argue that such rebound is completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2391 low.

In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view. However, sustained break of 1.3174 will invalidate this case and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2097; (P) 1.2139; (R1) 1.2212; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation fro 1.2014 is extending. Outlook stays bearish with 1.2209 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.2014 will resume recent fall to 1.1946 low first. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2209 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. In this case, strong rebound would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2396).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD edged higher to 1.4376 last week but reversed and dropped sharply to close at 1.3995. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.3965 support first. Break there will pave the way to 1.3711 key support level. On the upside, above 1.4069 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But for now, near term risk will stay on the downside as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.4173 holds).

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in daily MACD is raising the chance of medium term reversal. Also, note that GBP/USD has just failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257). Focus is back on 1.3711 support. Firm break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. For now, sustained break of 55 month EMA is needed to confirm medium term upside momentum. Otherwise, we won’t turn bullish even in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) is viewed as a corrective move, no change in this view. Focus stays on 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257. Rejection from there will turn focus back to 1.1946 low and could probably extend the down trend from 2.1161. On the other hand, sustained break of the EMA would at least bring further rally to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2699; (P) 1.2756; (R1) 1.2805; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.2618 minor support will indicate short term topping at 1.2813, ahead of 61.8% projection of 1.1409 to 1.2647 from 1.2065 at 1.2830. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.2457). Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.1409 has completed. On the upside, firm break of 1.2830 will extend the rise from 1.1409 to 100% projection at 1.3303.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence trend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3720; (P) 1.3755; (R1) 1.3799; More…

GBP/USD’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 1.3654 so far. The break of 1.3711 key support indicates medium term reversal. That is, whole rally from 1.1946 has completed. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.3448 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 1.3791 resistance is needed to be the first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in daily MACD is raising the chance of medium term reversal. Also, note that GBP/USD has just failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4248) again. Focus is back on 1.3711 support. Firm break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. For now, sustained break of 55 month EMA is needed to confirm medium term upside momentum. Otherwise, we won’t turn bullish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2551; (P) 1.2640; (R1) 1.2689; More…

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3141 resumed and intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3141 to 1.2618 from 1.2799 at 1.2476. Firm break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.2276. On the upside, break of 1.2799 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the decline. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, for now, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.3141 resistance holds, and consolidation from there is set to extend, until further development.

GBP/USD’s rally from 1.1409 continued last week and reached as high as 1.3356. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.2065 to 1.2813 from 1.2251 at 1.3461. On the downside, break of 1.3053 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.3514 resistance. Decisive break there should at least confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Further rise should be seen to 1.4376 resistance first. Though, rejection by 1.3514 will retain bearishness for resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) at a later stage.

In the longer term picture, the case of long term bullish reversal is building up with breach of 55 month EMA. Bullish convergence conditions are also seen in weekly and monthly MACD. Decisive break of 1.3514 will argue that rise from 1.1409 is at least a medium term up trend that corrects that fall from 2.1161 (2007 high). We’ll find out soon.

GBP/USD stayed in range of 1.2853/3175 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.3175 will resume the rebound from 1.2675 to retest 1.13482 high. On the downside, break of 1.2853 support will bring retest of 1.2675, as well as 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3514 key resistance. Decisive break there should also come with sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3307). That should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.1409. Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.4376 resistance and above. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3514 will maintain medium term bearishness for another lower below 1.1409 at a later stage.

In the longer term picture, GBP/USD is staying below decade long trend line from 2.1161 (2007 high). It also struggles to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.3307). Long term outlook stays bearish for now, despite bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD.

GBP/USD recovered further to 1.3995 last week but lost momentum since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Above 1.3995 will target 1.4144 resistance. Break there will confirm completion of correction from 1.4345 and target retest of this high. On the downside, below 1.3873 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the corrective fall from 1.4345. In that case, GBP/USD will target 1.3651 resistance turned support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4259) so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggest that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1946 should at least be correcting the whole long term down trend form 2.1161 and should target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. It too early to tell if it’s developing into a long term up trend. We’ll monitor the upside momentum and reaction to 1.5466 to decide later.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3791; (P) 1.3828; (R1) 1.3857 More….

Outlook in GBP/USD is unchanged that correction from 1.4240 could extend lower to 38.2% retracement of 1.2675 to 1.4240 at 1.3642. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4016 minor resistance will argue that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 1.4240 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 medium term bottom is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4376 resistance and above. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1409 (2020 low) at 1.5134. On the downside, break of 1.3482 resistance turned support is needed to be first indication of completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3927; (P) 1.4008; (R1) 1.4103; More….

GBP/USD’s retreat suggests temporary topping at 1.4087. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 1.3888 minor support holds. Correction from 1.4345 could have completed at 1.3711 already. Above 1.4087 will target 1.4144 resistance first. Firm break there should confirm this bullish view and target 1.4345 and above. On the downside, however, break of 1.3888 minor support will dampen this bullish view. Intraday bias would be turned back to the downside to extend the decline from 1.4345 through 1.3711 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4259) so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggest that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2818; (P) 1.2860; (R1) 1.2898; More…..

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation form 1.2675 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.3007 resistance intact, fall from 1.3482 is still in favor to extend lower. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.3482 at 1.2690 will argue that the rise from 1.1409 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.2201. However, break of 1.3007 resistance will suggest that decline from 1.3482 is merely a corrective move, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3482.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 was strong, it’s limited by both 1.3514 resistance, as well as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3317). The development keeps outlook bearish. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.2749) will add to medium term bearishness for a new low below 1.1409 at a later stage, resuming the down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2989; (P) 1.3027; (R1) 1.3049; More…

GBP/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.2971 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected with 1.3165 resistance intact. On the downside, break of will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2900. On the upside, firm break of 1.3165 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3297 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed confirm completion of the fall from 1.4248, or outlook will stay bearish.

GBP/USD’s decline from 1.4376 extended to as low as 1.3746 last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.3711 key support level. Decisive break there should confirm medium term reversal and target 1.3448 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.3835 minor resistance. will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in daily MACD is raising the chance of medium term reversal. Also, note that GBP/USD has just failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257) again. Focus is back on 1.3711 support. Firm break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. For now, sustained break of 55 month EMA is needed to confirm medium term upside momentum. Otherwise, we won’t turn bullish even in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) is viewed as a corrective move, no change in this view. Focus stays on 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257). Rejection from there will turn focus back to 1.1946 low and could probably extend the down trend from 2.1161. On the other hand, sustained break of the EMA would at least bring further rally to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466.