GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD fell further to 1.3008 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3247 support turned resistance holds. Break of 1.3008 will target 138.2% projection of 1.3787 to 1.3140 from 1.3725 at 1.2831). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.3247 will suggest that fall from 1.3787 has completed as a corrective move already.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Decisive break of trend line support (now at 1.2780) will solidify this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3787 at 1.2474 next. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

In the long term picture, as long as 1.4248/4480 resistance holds (38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.0351 at 1.4480), the long term outlook will remain bearish. That is, price actions from 1.3051 are seen as a corrective pattern to down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) only. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.4248/4480 will be a strong sign of long term bullish reversal.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3075; (P) 1.3109; (R1) 1.3171; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 1.3008. Further decline is expected with 1.3247 support turned resistance intact. Break of 1.3008 will resume the fall from 1.3787 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Decisive break of trend line support (now at 1.2780) will solidify this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3787 at 1.2474 next. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3075; (P) 1.3109; (R1) 1.3171; More…

GBP/USD is staying in consolidations and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected with 1.3247 support turned resistance intact. Break of 1.3008 will resume the fall from 1.3787 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Decisive break of trend line support (now at 1.2780) will solidify this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3787 at 1.2474 next. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3023; (P) 1.3038; (R1) 1.3067; More…

GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.3008 temporary extends higher, but stays well below 1.3247 support turned resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.3008 will resume the fall from 1.3787 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Decisive break of trend line support (now at 1.2780) will solidify this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3787 at 1.2474 next. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3023; (P) 1.3038; (R1) 1.3067; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen above 1.3008. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3247 support turned resistance holds. Below 1.3008 will resume the fall from 1.3787 and target 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Decisive break of trend line support (now at 1.2780) will solidify this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3787 at 1.2474 next. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2972; (P) 1.3059; (R1) 1.3108; More…

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3787 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next. On the upside, above 1.3095 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3247 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Further break of 1.2099 support should confirm this bearish case. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2972; (P) 1.3059; (R1) 1.3108; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside, and fall from 1.3787 should now target 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next. On the upside, above 1.3095 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3247 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) is taken as the first sign that corrective rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) has completed. Further break of 1.2099 support should confirm this bearish case. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside to preserve the long term down trend.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3111; (P) 1.3137; (R1) 1.3164; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 1.3787 should now target 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.2099 support next. On the upside, above 1.3161 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3247 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. In case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3111; (P) 1.3137; (R1) 1.3164; More…

Further decline is expected in GBP/USD as long as 1.3247 support turned resistance holds. Sustained trading below 1.3140 support should confirm completion of double top pattern (1.3787, 1.3725). Further decline should then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. In case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3106; (P) 1.3136; (R1) 1.3174; More…

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.3140 support should confirm completion of double top pattern (1.3787, 1.3725). Further decline should then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next. On the upside break of 1.3247 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. In case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3106; (P) 1.3136; (R1) 1.3174; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Sustained trading below 1.3140 support should confirm completion of double top pattern (1.3787, 1.3725). Further decline should then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.2744 next. On the upside break of 1.3247 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. In case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD’s extended decline and break of (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142) suggests that it might have completed a double top pattern (1.3787, 1.3725). Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement at 1.2744 next. On the upside break of 1.3247 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 1.3185) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. In case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside.

In the long term picture, as long as 1.4248/4480 resistance holds (38.2% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.0351 at 1.4480), the long term outlook will remain bearish. That is, price actions from 1.3051 are seen as a corrective pattern to down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) only. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.4248/4480 will be a strong sign of long term bullish reversal.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3105; (P) 1.3162; (R1) 1.3207; More…

GBP/USD’s decline continues today and the break of 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142) now suggests that a double top pattern (1.3787/3725) was already in place. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 1.2744 next. On the upside break of 1.3247 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099. Firm break there will confirm bearish reversal. In case of another rise, strong resistance should emerge below 1.4248 (2021 high) to cap upside.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3105; (P) 1.3162; (R1) 1.3207; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside with focus on 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142). Decisive break there will complete a double top pattern (1.3787/3725) and turn near term outlook bearish. Deeper decline should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2744 next. On the upside, above 1.3247 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3130; (P) 1.3206; (R1) 1.3270; More…

Focus stays on 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142). Decisive break there will complete a double top pattern (1.3787/3725) and turn near term outlook bearish. Deeper decline should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2744 next. On the upside, above 1.3247 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3130; (P) 1.3206; (R1) 1.3270; More…

Immediate focus is now on 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142) as GBP/USD’s fall extended. Strong support is expected there to contain downside to complete the corrective pattern from 1.3787. On the upside, above 1.3247 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, decisive break of 1.3140/2 will complete a double top pattern (1.3787/3725) and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3223; (P) 1.3297; (R1) 1.3345; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside for 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142). Strong support is expected there to contain downside to complete the corrective pattern from 1.3787. On the upside, above 1.3290 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, decisive break of 1.3140/2 will complete a double top pattern (1.3787/3725) and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3223; (P) 1.3297; (R1) 1.3345; More…

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.3725 resumed by breaking through 1.3247 support today. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142). Strong support is expected there to contain downside to complete the corrective pattern from 1.3787. On the upside, above 1.3368 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, decisive break of 1.3140/2 will complete a double top pattern (1.3787/3725) and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3314; (P) 1.3333; (R1) 1.3356; More…

GBP/USD dips notably today and focus is now on 1.3247 support. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.3725 and target 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142). Strong support is expected there to contain downside to complete the corrective pattern from 1.3787. On the upside, break of 1.3470 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3526, and then 1.3725/87 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3314; (P) 1.3333; (R1) 1.3356; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 1.3247 will target 1.3140 cluster (38.2% retracement of 1.2099 to 1.3787 at 1.3142). Strong support is expected there to contain downside to complete the corrective pattern from 1.3787. On the upside, break of 1.3470 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3526, and then 1.3725/87 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still seen as a corrective move. Further rally could be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3433 (2024 high) from 1.2099 (2025 low) at 1.4004. But strong resistance could emerge from 1.4248 (2021 high) to limit upside. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3191) will argue that a medium term top has already formed and bring deeper fall back to 1.2099.