GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2247; (P) 1.2318; (R1) 1.2452; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside as rise from 1.2036 is in progress. Further rally should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2783. On the downside, below 1.2309 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 argues that price action from 1.3141 are merely a correction to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Current rally from 1.2036 is tentatively seen as the second leg of the pattern. Hence, while further rally is in favor, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to start the third leg.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2247; (P) 1.2318; (R1) 1.2452; More

GBP/USD retreats mildly today intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Further rally should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2783. On the downside, below 1.2309 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 argues that price action from 1.3141 are merely a correction to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Current rally from 1.2036 is tentatively seen as the second leg of the pattern. Hence, while further rally is in favor, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to start the third leg.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD’s strong rally and break of 1.2236 resistance confirms resumption of whole rebound from 1.2036. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2783. On the downside, below 1.2287 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 argues that price action from 1.3141 are merely a correction to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Current rally from 1.2036 is tentatively seen as the second leg of the pattern. Hence, while further rally is in favor, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to start the third leg.

In the long term picture, sustained trading above 55 M EMA (now at 1.2832) is needed to be the first sign of bullish trend reversal. Decisive break of 1.4248 structural resistance is needed to confirm. Otherwise, outlook will be neutral at best.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF rose further to 0.9111 last week but subsequent retreat argues that rebound from 0.8886 has completed. Initial bias remains mildly on the downside this week for 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci support. For now, risk will be on the downside as long as 0.9111 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2152; (P) 1.2189; (R1) 1.2240; More

Break of 1.2287 resistance argues that rebound from 1.2036 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2336 resistance first. Firm break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. On the downside, below 1.2184 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could be viewed as part of a correction to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). An interim bounce could be seen as the second leg of the pattern. But upside should be limited well below 1.3141 to start the third leg. Nevertheless, the pattern would be a range pattern as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2152; (P) 1.2189; (R1) 1.2240; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.2287 resistance will argue that rise from 1.2036 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2315) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2110; (P) 1.2137; (R1) 1.2179; More

GBP/USD is still bounded in established range despite today’s rebound, and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 1.2287 resistance will argue that rise from 1.2036 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2315) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2110; (P) 1.2137; (R1) 1.2179; More

GBP/USD is still bounded in sideway trading and intraday bias stays neutral. With 1.2336 resistance intact, downside breakout is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2112; (P) 1.2157; (R1) 1.2193; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral first. With 1.2336 resistance intact, downside breakout is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2112; (P) 1.2157; (R1) 1.2193; More

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. With 1.2336 resistance intact, downside breakout is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2098; (P) 1.2130; (R1) 1.2155; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 1.2336 resistance intact, downside breakout is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2098; (P) 1.2130; (R1) 1.2155; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point, as sideway trading continues. With 1.2336 resistance intact, outlook stays bearish. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2098; (P) 1.2130; (R1) 1.2155; More

Range trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook also remains bearish with 1.2336 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2098; (P) 1.2130; (R1) 1.2155; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as range trading continues. Outlook also stays bearish with 1.2336 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD was still bounded in sideway pattern from 1.2036 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Outlook also stays bearish with 1.2336 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. Rise from 1.0351 could be part of a consolidation pattern to down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Rejection by 55 M EMA (now at 1.2900) will retain long term bearishness for extending the down trend at a later stage.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2085; (P) 1.2112; (R1) 1.2155; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as consolidation from 1.2036 is still extending. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2085; (P) 1.2112; (R1) 1.2155; More

GBP/USD is still extending the consolidation from 1.2036 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside breakout is in favor with 1.2336 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2085; (P) 1.2131; (R1) 1.2156; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as it’s still bounded in range of 1.2036/2336. Downside breakout is in favor with 1.2336 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2346) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2085; (P) 1.2131; (R1) 1.2156; More

GBP/USD is still bounded in range above 1.2036 and intraday bias stays neutral. Downside breakout is still in favor with 1.2336 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2384) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2113; (P) 1.2201; (R1) 1.2249; More

No change in GBP/USD’s outlook as consolidation from 1.2036 is extending. Downside breakout is still mildly in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2036 will resume whole decline from 1.3141 for 1.1801 support next. However, break of 1.2336 will turn bias back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2458.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2384) holds, in case of rebound.