Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3363; (P) 1.3386; (R1) 1.3422; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3479 support turned resistance holds. Rise from 1.3091 could have completed at 1.3897 already. Sustained trading below 1.3378 support will bring deeper fall to 1.3091 support next.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by deeper then expected fall from 1.3897. But after all, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern that’s in progress. Larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2322; (P) 1.2353; (R1) 1.2374; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2286 is still extending. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2497 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2286 will resume the fall from 1.2947 to 161.8% projection of 1.2947 to 1.2492 from 1.2894 at 1.2158 next.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 argues that rebound from 1.2005 is merely a corrective rise, which is complete. More importantly, the down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) is not over yet. Sustained break of 1.2005 will extend the down trend to next long term fibonacci level at 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. In any case, outlook will not turn bullish as long as 1.2947 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2422; (P) 1.2463; (R1) 1.2539; More…

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2497 resistance now suggests that fall from 1.2947 might have completed with three waves down to 1.2286. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.2386 support holds. Rise from 1.2286 would target 1.2894/2947 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 argues that rebound from 1.2005 is merely a corrective rise, which is complete. More importantly, the down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) is not over yet. Sustained break of 1.2005 will extend the down trend to next long term fibonacci level at 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. In any case, outlook will not turn bullish as long as 1.2947 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3053; (P) 1.3118; (R1) 1.3207; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Prior break of 1.3080 completed a double top pattern (1.3588, 1.3598) and indicates reversal. Fall from 1.3598 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 and should target 1.2460 low next. On the upside, break of 1.3293 is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 1.3598. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is like finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would now likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2472; (P) 1.2503; (R1) 1.2534; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays mildly on the downside for retesting 1.2363 low. Break there will resume the down trend from 1.4667. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.2653, with sustained trading above 55 day EMA, will indicate that it’s now in a larger scale rebound, towards 1.2742 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.2994 support turned resistance resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

USD/CAD dropped further to as low as 1.3387 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.3570 resistance and bring fall resumption. At this point, we’re still favoring the case that rise from 1.2968 has completed. And the larger rise from 1.2460 could have finished too. Below 1.3387 will target 1.3222 support first. Break of 1.3222 will affirm our bearish view and target 1.2968 key support level for confirmation. However, break of 1.3570 will turn focus back to 1.3793 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and could have completed at 1.3793, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. Nonetheless, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3072; (P) 1.3120; (R1) 1.3165; More…

USD/CAD is still staying in range of 1.3017/3598 and intraday bias remains neutral. We’d favoring the case that consolidation from 1.3588 has completed at 1.3017. On the upside, above 1.3387 minor resistance will target 1.3598. Break there will extend the whole choppy rise from 1.2460 to next fibonacci level at 1.3838 and possibly above. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.3017 will invalidate our view and indicate that rise from 1.2460 has completed and turn outlook bearish for 1.2460.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. As rise from 1.2460 is seen as a corrective move, we’d look for reversal signal above 1.3838. Meanwhile, break of 1.3017 will likely start the third leg to 1.2460 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3141; (P) 1.3190; (R1) 1.3237; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for retesting 1.3115 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend, and target 61.8% projection of 1.3653 to 1.3115 from 1.3386 at 1.3054, and then 100% projection at 1.2848. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3386 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) only. Hence, the up trend is in favor to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage. Nevertheless, another fall below 1.3115 will extending the decline from 1.3976 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758, and raise the chance of bearish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3491; (P) 1.3526; (R1) 1.3573; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Below 1.3479 will resume the corrective fall from 1.3897. But downside should be seen from 1.3378 support, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3399, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3625 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.3091 is seen as the fifth leg of the whole rise from 1.2005 (2021 low). Further rally is expected as long as 1.3378 support holds, to 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. However, decisive break of 1.3378 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall back to 1.3091 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3218; (P) 1.3241; (R1) 1.3260; More…

Outlook in USD/CAD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.3327 will resume the rise form 1.3042 and target 1.3382 key structural resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 1.3158 will extend the fall from 1.3327 to retest 1.3042 low.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3053; (P) 1.3177; (R1) 1.3257; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.3081 support will target a test on 1.2994 low. Break there will resume larger down trend form 1.4667. On the upside, break of 1.3389 will likely resume the corrective pattern from 1.2994 with another rise through 1.3418 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3695; (P) 1.3778; (R1) 1.3820; More…

A short term top should be in place at 1.3897, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside. Deeper fall would be seen towards 38.2% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3589. But strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3804 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.3897.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3568 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3381; (P) 1.3413; (R1) 1.3431; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays mildly on the downside and deeper fall could be seen to 1.3342 support. Firm break there will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed at 1.3540, and target this low for resuming whole fall from 1.3897. On the upside, however, break of 1.3540 will resume the rebound from 1.3176 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2543; (P) 1.2572; (R1) 1.2609; More…

USD/CAD continues to lose downside momentum, but further decline is still expected with 1.2685 minor resistance intact. Decisive break of 1.2401 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.2005 has completed, after rejection by 1.3022 fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, above 1.2685 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2403; (P) 1.2428; (R1) 1.2459; More….

USD/CAD rebounds strongly ahead of 1.2354, after dovish BoC rate hike. Technically, consolidation from 1.2354 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Still, as long as 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2526; (P) 1.2559; (R1) 1.2592; More….

USD/CAD rises further today but is still staying below 1.2687 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.287 will resume the rebound from 1.2246 and should target a test on 1.2919 key near term resistance. On the downside, below 1.2450 will target 1.2246 first. Break there will extend the fall from 1.2919 and target 1.2061 keys support level.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.2246 is mixing up the medium term outlook. Nonetheless, USD/CAD is staying below falling 55 week EMA, hence, the bearish case is in favor. That is, fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.2061 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. However, firm break of 1.2919 will revive the case of medium term reversal and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3278; (P) 1.3312; (R1) 1.3364; More….

USD/CAD drops sharply in early US session but it’s staying above 1.3164. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 1.3164 might extend but upside should be limited by 1.3387 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. We’re holding on to the view that corrective rise from 1.2460 has completed at 1.3793 already. Below 1.3164 will target 1.2968 cluster support, 61.8% retracement of 1.2460 to 1.3793 at 1.2969. However, firm break of 1.3387 will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.3537 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and has completed at 1.3793, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should now indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. In that case, USD/CAD should decline through 1.2460 support to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3349; (P) 1.3399; (R1) 1.3440; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for deeper decline. But strong support would be seen above 1.3224 to contain downside. Above 1.3483 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3704 resistance. However, sustained break of 1.3222/4 cluster support will resume the whole fall from 1.3976 and carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3113; (P) 1.3139; (R1) 1.3161; More….

Prior break of 1.3143 resistance indicates short term bottoming at 1.3016, after drawing support from 1.3052/68 cluster support. Intraday bias remains on the upside for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3215). For now, further rise will remain in favor in the near term as long as 1.3016 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3660; (P) 1.3712; (R1) 1.3740; More…

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook as sideway trading continues below 1.3897. While another fall cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3589 to bring rebound. Break of 1.3897 is expected at a later stage to resume larger rally.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.