Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2078; (P) 1.2110; (R1) 1.2166; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point, and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.2201 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on strong support from 1.2061 support zone. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound. However, break of 1.2061 support will carry larger bearish implications. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 1.2880 to 1.2363 from 1.2653 at 1.1816.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). We’re look for strong support from 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048 to bring rebound. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.2653 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound. Also, sustained break of 1.2061 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2481; (P) 1.2506; (R1) 1.2532; More….

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook. While deeper fall could be seen, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, we’ll be cautious on strong support from 1.2460 key support to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.2608 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2968 support turned resistance. However, firm break of 1.2460 will target next key fibonacci level at 1.2048.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Fall from 1.3793 is seen as the third leg and should target 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. However, firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4689 to 1.2460 from 1.3793 at 1.1564.

USD/CAD surged to as high as 1.3205 last week and the break of 1.3124 resistance confirmed resumption of medium term rebound from 1.2061. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 100% projection of 1.2246 to 1.3124 from 1.2526 at 1.3404 next. On the downside, below 1.3120 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staying another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development solidify the view of bullish trend reversal. That is fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) has completed at 1.2061, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen for 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above. This will now be the preferred case as long as 1.2526 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high). The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406) and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. It’s early to tell, but there is now prospect of extending the long term up trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9406 to 1.4689 from 1.2061 at 1.5326 in medium to long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3760; (P) 1.3788; (R1) 1.3831; More….

USD/CAD’s rally continues to high as 1.3816 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for retesting 1.3976 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend and target 1.4234 projection level. On the downside, break of 1.3744 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But retreat should be contained well above 1.3554 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, break of 1.3261 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook remains bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3404; (P) 1.3440; (R1) 1.3483; More….

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. While the choppy fall from 1.3704 might still extend lower, strong support is expected to 1.3224 key support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3519 minor resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3704 resistance. However, decisive break of 1.3224 would carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2582; (P) 1.2654; (R1) 1.2699; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.2757 will resume the rebound from 1.2246 and target a test on 1.2919 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.2450 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2246 support.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.2246 is mixing up the medium term outlook. Nonetheless, USD/CAD is staying below falling 55 week EMA (now at 1.2771), hence, the bearish case is in favor. That is, fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.2061 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. However, firm break of 1.2919 will revive the case of medium term reversal and turn outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3233; (P) 1.3260; (R1) 1.3314; More…

USD/CAD retreats notably today but with 1.3177 minor support intact, intraday bias remains mildly on the upside. Pull back from 1.3382 should have completed at 1.3133. Rebound from 1.3016 is possibly resuming. Further rise would be seen to 1.3382 resistance first. Break will confirm this bullish case and target 1.3564 resistance next. However, break of 1.3177 will dampen this week and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3016 low.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3007; (P) 1.3058; (R1) 1.3143; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is back on the upside as rebound from 1.2726 resumes after brief retreat. Current rally should be seen to retest 1.3222 high next. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 1.2893 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2726 support instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2463; (P) 1.2528; (R1) 1.2582; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current recovery and some consolidations could be seen. But further decline is still expected as long as 1.2645 resistance holds. Corrective pattern from 1.2005 could have completed already. Firm break of 1.2448 support should confirm this bearish case and bring retest of 1.2005. On the upside, nevertheless, break of 1.2645 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3473; (P) 1.3540; (R1) 1.3586; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point, with focus on 1.3378 support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 1.3091 has completed at 1.3897. Deeper fall should then be seen back to 1.3091, to extend the sideway pattern from 1.3978. On the upside, though, above 1.3479 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by deeper then expected fall from 1.3897. But after all, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern that’s in progress. Larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3145; (P) 1.3163; (R1) 1.3186; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.3139 with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first but further decline is expected as long as 1.3247 minor resistance holds. Below 1.3139 will target a test on 1.3016 low again. On the upside, however, above 1.3247 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.3382 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3711; (P) 1.3767; (R1) 1.3806; More….

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook as correction from 1.4667 is still in progress. We’d continue to expect strong support around 61.8% retracement of 1.3202 to 1.4667 at 1.3762 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3866 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.4048 resistance. However, sustained break of 1.3762 will suggest deeper decline is underway for 61.8% projection of 1.4667 to 1.3855 from 1.4048 at 1.3546 next.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) as resuming up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Decisive break of 1.4689 (2016 high) will confirm this bullish case. However, rejection by 1.4689, followed by 1.3664 support will suggest that rise from 1.2061 is merely part of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 and has completed. The pattern would have started another falling leg to 1.2951 support and possibly further to 1.2061.

Despite rebounding further last week, USD/CAD is held below 1.3081 resistance. With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line again, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3081 will be the first sign of completion of whole choppy fall from 1.3385. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.3225 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 1.2886 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.2781 instead. That would also argue that fall from 1.3385 is still in progress for another low.

In the bigger picture, corrective rebound from 1.2061 could have completed at 1.3385 already. Deeper fall is mildly in favor to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2567, which is close to 1.2526 support. For now, we’re not seeing fall from 1.3385 as resuming larger down trend from 1.4689 (2015 high) yet. Thus, we’ll look for bottoming signal again below 1.2567 . On the upside, though, break of 1.3081 resistance will argue that the pull back from 1.3385 is completed and rise from 1.2061 is resuming for another high above 1.3385.

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406 and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. For now, there is prospect of extending the long term up trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9406 to 1.4689 from 1.2061 at 1.5326 in medium to long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3093; (P) 1.3118; (R1) 1.3135; More….

Further fall is expected in USD/CAD with 1.3242 support turned resistance intact. Decline from 1.3418 would target a test on 1.2994 low. Larger fall from 1.4667 might be resuming. Firm break of 1.2994 will confirm and target 61.8% projection of 1.4667 to 1.2994 from 1.3418 at 1.2384. On the upside, though, break of 1.3242 support turned resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2922; (P) 1.2961; (R1) 1.3021; More…

A short term bottom was formed at 1.2886, ahead head of 1.2879 fibonacci level. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for recovery, towards near term channel resistance (now at 1.3113). However, break of 1.3173 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the choppy fall from 1.3385. Otherwise, out will remain cautiously bearish for another fall. On the downside, below 1.2959 minor support will turn focus back to 1.2879 key fibonacci level again.

In the bigger picture, the break of channel support (now at 1.2988), argues that rise from 1.2246, as well as that from 1.2061, has completed at 1.3385. Focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879. Decisive break there will affirm the case of medium term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2567 and below. That will also put key long term support at 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048 into focus. On the upside, break of 1.3173 resistance will revive the bullish case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3022; (P) 1.3059; (R1) 1.3099; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for retesting 1.2994 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend form 1.4667. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 1.4667 to 1.2994 from 1.3389 at 1.2355. On the upside, above 1.3097 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Rejection by 55 week EMA is keeping outlook bearish. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2695; (P) 1.2737; (R1) 1.2786; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2588 extends higher today but stays below 1.2798 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2798 should confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.2957 resistance and possibly above. On the downside, break of 1.2588 will resume the down trend from 1.4677 to 61.8% projection of 1.4667 to 1.2994 from 1.3389 at 1.2355.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3280; (P) 1.3300; (R1) 1.3317; More…

USD/CAD drops sharply after more upbeat than expected BoC statement. But it’s staying above 1.3190 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.3190 holds, further rise is still expected in the pair. On the upside, break of 1.3327 will resume the rise from 1.3042 to 1.3347/82 resistance zone. Firm break there will suggest completion of consolidation from 1.3664. However, break of 1.3190 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3042 support.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3313; (P) 1.3343; (R1) 1.3382; More…

USD/CAD is staying in tight range above 1.3275 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Fall from 1.3534 might extend lower. But still, such decline is viewed as a correction pattern. Hence, we’d expect downside to be contained by 1.3211 cluster level (61.8% retracement of 1.3008 to 1.3534 at 1.3209) and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3420 minor resistance will indicate that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3534 resistance and then 1.3598. However, sustained break of 1.3211 will dampen this view and target 1.2968 key support level next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. Break of 1.2968 wold at least bring at retest of 1.2460 low. However, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3198; (P) 1.3228; (R1) 1.3252; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.3115 is trying to resume by breaching 1.3284 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.3369). On the downside, break of 1.3202 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3115 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are still viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3299 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758. However, sustained trading above 1.3229 will raise the chance that the correction has completed and turn focus back to 1.3653 resistance.