USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9655; (P) 0.9682; (R1) 0.9709; More

With 0.9576 minor support intact, further rise is expected in USD/CHF. Outlook is unchanged that triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Further rally should be seen to 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9576 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8921; (P) 0.8948; (R1) 0.8985; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as sideway trading continues. Break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. But for now, strong support is still expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9011 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9526; (P) 0.9568; (R1) 0.9634; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. On the upside, break of 0.9655 minor resistance will indicate completion of the pull back from 0.9901. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9901 next. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 will target a test on 0.9181/6 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9681; (P) 0.9706; (R1) 0.9744; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9592 will bring deeper decline. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9797 will bring retest of 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9461; (P) 0.9493; (R1) 0.9544; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.9420 minor support will bring retest of 0.9376 low. Break will resume the whole decline form 0.9901 and target 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. On the upside, firm break of 0.9554 will resume the rebound from 0.9376 instead. In this case, further rally would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9591).

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9590; (P) 0.9625; (R1) 0.9665; More

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Strong support is expected from 61.8% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9525 to complete the pull back from 1.0063. On the upside, above 0.9763 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0063 high. However, sustained break of 0.9525 will bring deeper decline to 0.9193 support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF surged to as high as 1.0037 last week but formed a temporary top there and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidation first. Downside should be contained above 0.9835 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption . Since 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990 is already met, break of 1.0037 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could is a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

In the long term picture, while upside momentum is unconvincing, with 0.9443 key support intact, rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9201; (P) 0.9235; (R1) 0.9256; More….

With 0.9280 minor resistance intact, correction from 0.9471 could extend lower. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9280 will turn bias to the upside for rebound back towards 0.9471 high. However, sustained break of 0.9198 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9192) will dampen revive medium term bearishness for down trend extension through 0.8756 at a later stage.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9125; (R1) 0.9144; More….

With 0.9174 resistance intact, further decline is expected in USD/CHF. Current fall from 0.9367 Decline from 0.9367 should target 0.9017 support first and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9256; (P) 0.9277; (R1) 0.9316; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 0.9380 resistance intact, further decline cannot be ruled out. On the downside, below 0.9193 will resume the decline from 0.9459 to 0.9149 support. Firm break there will turn near term outlook bearish for 0.9090 support and below. On the upside, above 0.9380 resistance will revive near term bullishness, and flip bias back to the upside for 0.9459 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9323; (P) 0.9352; (R1) 0.9389; More

USD/CHF is losing downside momentum but there is no sign of rebound yet. Focus stays on 0.9287 fibonacci level. Decisive break there will target 0.9149 structural support next. On the upside, though, break of 0.9454 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9545 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9621) holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9914; (P) 0.9945; (R1) 0.9978; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside with 0.9911 minor support intact. Consolidation pattern from 1.0027 could have completed at 0.9851. Further rise should be seen for retesting 1.0027 first. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9659. On the downside, though, below 0.9911 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But further rally is in favor as long as 0.9851 support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF rose to 0.9241 last week but failed to break through 0.9273 resistance and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.9128 minor support holds. Firm break of 0.9273 will resume the whole rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, however, break of 0.9128 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9972; (P) 1.0003; (R1) 1.0047; More

USD/CHF retreated after touching 1.0030 minor resistance and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.0030 minor resistance will suggest that pull back from 1.0146 has completed at 0.9840. Bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.0146. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.0283 projection level. However, break of 0.9840 support will now be a sign of reversal, and bring deeper decline back to 0.9779 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9779 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9792; (P) 0.9813; (R1) 0.9846; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9770 temporary low. Further decline is still expected as long as 0.9876 resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.9770 will resume the decline from 1.0023 and target 0.9659 low. However, break of 0.9876 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0023 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9173; (P) 0.9211; (R1) 0.9231; More

USD/CHF breached 0.9200 resistance turned support briefly but quickly recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9304 will extend the rebound from 0.8998 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343. However, sustained break of 0.9200 will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8998.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9220; (P) 0.9297; (R1) 0.9363; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.0146 should target 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. On the upside, break of 0.9378 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9924; (R1) 0.9947; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9957 minor resistance intact, further decline is mildly in favor. Below 0.9900 will target 0.9856 support. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9787. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9787 support holds, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, rise fro 0.9787 is resuming the whole up trend from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance on resumption. However, break of 0.9787 will indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9919; (P) 0.9963; (R1) 0.9999; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0027 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9843 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will resume the rise from 0.9659 for 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9938; (R1) 0.9960; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment and consolidations from 0.9854 might extend. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.0008 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9854 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712).

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Sustained break should confirm that medium term up trend from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587.