Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9184; (P) 0.9230; (R1) 0.9257; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9090 support. Firm break there will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and turn near term outlook bearish. Nevertheless, above 0.9250 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9341, and then 0.9372 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9160; (P) 0.9189; (R1) 0.9227; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 0.9058 low is in progress. Another rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited by 0.9474 fibonacci level. On the downside, firm break of 0.9058 will resume larger down trend from 1.1046.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Prior rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9033; (P) 0.9052; (R1) 0.9074; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 0.9303 temporary low. Further fall is expected as long as 0.9165 resistance holds. Below 0.9030 will target 0.8998 low first. Break will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. However, break of 0.9165 resistance will delay the bearish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside to extend the consolidation from 0.8998 with another rising leg.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation from 0.9613 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Upside should be limited by 0.9762 resistance to bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9661 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low first. Break will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9787).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9615; (P) 0.9655; (R1) 0.9684; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly one the upside, and rise from 0.9478 would target 0.9868 resistance. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. Overall, the corrective pattern from 1.0063 high could still extend. Below 0.9554 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9478 and below.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9152; (P) 0.9181; (R1) 0.9198; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9191; (P) 0.9213; (R1) 0.9242; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.9273. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still struggling around 55 week EMA (now at 0.9176) and outlook is mixed for now. Confirmed rejection by the 55 week EMA will retain medium term bearishness. That is, larger fall from 1.0342 would resume through 0.8756 low at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will tilt favor to the case of bullish reversal. Focus would then be turned to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9420 low extended higher last week but failed to break through 0.9772 resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside decisive break of 0.9772 resistance will suggest that whole down trend form 1.0342 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 0.9860/1.0099 resistance zone. Nonetheless, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Below 0.9587 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8732; (P) 0.8752; (R1) 0.8778; More….

USD/CHF’s rally accelerates to as high as 0.8867 so far, and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 0.9189. On the downside, below 0.8754 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained above 0.8550 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.8687) will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8332, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance, even as a correction to the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9885; (P) 0.9911; (R1) 0.9926; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. Deeper fall could be seen as correction from 1.0056 extends. But we’d expect strong support from trend line (now at 0.9830) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9977 will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056 high. However, sustained break of the trend line will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9935; (R1) 0.9951; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for range trading inside 0.9894/9984. On the upside, above 0.9984 will resume the rebound from 0.9866 to retest 1.0067 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9894 might extend the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 with another falling leg. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9802; (P) 0.9838; (R1) 0.9876; More…

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0146 accelerates lower today and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9369 to 1.0146 at 0.9666. Sustained break there will raise the chance of larger reversal. On the upside, above 0.9897 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.0146 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Fall from 1.0146 support is currently seen as a correction to rise from 0.9369 only. That is, another rise could still be seen through 1.0146. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9369 to 1.0146 at 0.9666 will raise the chance of larger reversal, and target 55 week EMA (now at 0.9578).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9757; (P) 0.9854; (R1) 0.9916; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. Intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.9861 minor resistance intact. Fall from 1.0237 is still in progress for 0.9716 support. On the upside, break of 0.9861 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 1.0014 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. That is, rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) could have completed at 1.0237 already). Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9836 will confirm and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587. However, strong rebound from 0.9836 will revive medium term bullishness for 1.0237 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9240; (P) 0.9266; (R1) 0.9281; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first and more consolidation could be seen below 0.9328 temporary top. On the upside, above 0.9328 will resume the rally from 0.9084 for 0.9367 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9236 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.9084 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9602; (P) 0.9627; (R1) 0.9674; More…

USD/CHF’s strong rise today and break of 0.9651 support turned resistance indicates short term bottoming at 0.9541, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9757 resistance first. Firm break there will target 0.9866 key resistance level, 61.8% retracement of 1.0067 to 0.9541 at 0.9866. On the downside, below 0.9604 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9541 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and possibly below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggest that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9932; (P) 0.9974; (R1) 1.0023; More…

A temporary low is formed at 0.9926 with current recovery. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another fall is mildly in favor as long as 1.0014 minor resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9926 will resume the decline from 1.0098 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9716 to 1.0098 at 0.9862. We’d look for bottoming signal again below there. On the upside, break of 1.0014 minor resistance will suggests that the pull back from 1.0098 has completed. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0098/0128 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9596; (P) 0.9628; (R1) 0.9673; More….

USD/CHF breaches 0.9679 resistance but failed to sustain so far. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Below 0.9582 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9420 low first. Sustained break of 0.9420 will resume whole decline from 1.0342. However, firm break of 0.9679 will indicate near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 0.9772 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8477; (P) 0.8503; (R1) 0.8528; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as price actions from 0.8332 are still seen as a corrective pattern only. Intraday bias stays neutral and outlook remains bearish with 0.8665 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8983; (P) 0.9006; (R1) 0.9038; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. Rebound from 0.8818 short term bottom is expected to continue as long as 0.8918 minor support holds. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9039) should confirm that current rally is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, though, break of 0.8918 will bring retest of 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9720; (P) 0.9747; (R1) 0.9787; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.9797 resistance. On the upside, break of 0.9797 will resume rise from 0.9502 and target retest of 0.9901 high. On the downside, break of 0.9592 support will bring deeper decline. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. Overall, consolidation from 0.9901 is still in progress and could extend further.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.