USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9173; (P) 0.9211; (R1) 0.9231; More

USD/CHF breached 0.9200 resistance turned support briefly but quickly recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9304 will extend the rebound from 0.8998 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343. However, sustained break of 0.9200 will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8998.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9220; (P) 0.9297; (R1) 0.9363; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.0146 should target 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. On the upside, break of 0.9378 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9924; (R1) 0.9947; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9957 minor resistance intact, further decline is mildly in favor. Below 0.9900 will target 0.9856 support. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9787. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9787 support holds, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, rise fro 0.9787 is resuming the whole up trend from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance on resumption. However, break of 0.9787 will indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8610; (P) 0.8647; (R1) 0.8678; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in tight range and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, below 0.8605 will resume the pull back from 0.8727 to 0.8487 support. Break there will argue that rebound from 0.8332 has completed, and bring retest of this low. On the upside, firm break of 0.8727 will resume the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995 instead.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9938; (R1) 0.9960; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment and consolidations from 0.9854 might extend. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.0008 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9854 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712).

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Sustained break should confirm that medium term up trend from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9875; (P) 0.9909; (R1) 0.9929; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.9842 minor support. Break will indicate that rebound from 0.9695 has completed at 0.9951. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9695 low. On the upside, above 0.9951 will target 1.0014. But upside could be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9695 at 1.0030.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9899; (P) 0.9925; (R1) 0.9964; More…..

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9951 indicates resumption of rebound from 0.9695. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.0014 resistance next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0237 high. On the downside, break of 0.9884 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9803 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9946; (R1) 1.0002; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.9989 minor resistance. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.9787 and target 1.0056 high. Break will resume whole rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9855 will likely resume the correction from 1.0056 through 0.9787 support. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9875; (P) 0.9918; (R1) 0.9957; More

USD/CHF drops sharply in early US session but stays above 0.9854 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.0008 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9854 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712).

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Sustained break should confirm that medium term up trend from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9748; (R1) 0.9803; More…..

USD/CHF breached 0.9695 low but recovered quickly. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.9975 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.9695 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9917; (P) 0.9936; (R1) 0.9964; More

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.9841 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.0027 resistance. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 0.9659. Next target is 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113. On the downside, break of 0.9907 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9841 support instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9772; (P) 0.9784; (R1) 0.9806; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 0.9613 short term bottom should target 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851. Reactions from there would unveil whether it’s just a corrective move, or reversing near term trend. On the downside, however, break of 0.9741 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9935; (R1) 0.9951; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for range trading inside 0.9894/9984. On the upside, above 0.9984 will resume the rebound from 0.9866 to retest 1.0067 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9894 might extend the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 with another falling leg. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9938; (R1) 0.9960; More

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.9854 extends higher today but outlook is unchanged. We’d still expect upside to be limited by 1.0008 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9854 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712). However, sustained break of 1.0008 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rise back to 1.0098 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Sustained break should confirm that medium term up trend from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9336; (P) 0.9369; (R1) 0.9414; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9181 continues. Upside of recovery should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.9484 to 0.9181 at 0.9436 down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9181 will target 200% projection of 1.0023 to 0.9613 from 0.9848 at 0.9028 next. However, firm break of 0.9436 will bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 0.9593.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that decline from 1.0237 is the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Focus will be on 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. Sustained break there will argue that USD/CHF is in a long term down trend, which would target 138.2% projection at 0.8639 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9078; (P) 0.9139; (R1) 0.9172; More….

USD/CHF recovers again today but stays in range of 0.9098/9241. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.927.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9176) retains medium term bearishness in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9103; (P) 0.9142; (R1) 0.9164; More….

USD/CHF is extending the consolidation from 0.9243 and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9089 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9243 will resume the rally from 0.8551 and target 0.9439 resistance next. However, firm break of 0.9089 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8963) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9170; (P) 0.9215; (R1) 0.9239; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9287/9 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8868; (P) 0.8897; (R1) 0.8927; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. While down trend from 1.0146 could still extend lower, strong support should be seen from 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support, to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.8993 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.9054) and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9607; (P) 0.9679; (R1) 0.9728; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9595) and below. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9525 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9763 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.