Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0086; (P) 1.0111; (R1) 1.0135; More…..

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s still staying in range of 1.0019/0342 in spite of dollar weakness elsewhere. As long as 1.0019 support holds, further rally is still mildly in favor. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9095; (P) 0.9117; (R1) 0.9154; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidations above 0.9079 temporary low. Further fall is expected with 0.9180 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9079 will resume the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9180 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9092; (P) 0.9104; (R1) 0.9122; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside for the moment. Corrective fall from 0.9223 might have completed with three waves down to 0.8987 already. Further rally should be seen back to retest 0.9223. On the downside, below 0.9063 minor support is turned neutral first. Further break of 0.8987 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9472; (P) 0.9533; (R1) 0.9569; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 0.9437/9699. At this point, we remain cautious on strong support from 0.9443 key support to bring reversal. Decisive break of 0.9699 will confirm and turn outlook bullish. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 0.9443 will extend the down trend from 1.0342 to 161.8% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9319.

In the bigger picture, focus is now back 0.9443 key support level. Sustained break there indicate underlying bearish momentum and would target 0.9 handle and possibly below. Meanwhile, strong rebound from current level and break 0.9699 resistance will extend long term range trading between 0.9443/1.0342.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8847; (P) 0.8871; (R1) 0.8893; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 0.8851 temporary low. Intraday bias stays neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.8982 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.8851 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8828; (P) 0.8849; (R1) 0.8872; More….

USD/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.8898 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 0.9243 should target 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 next. On the upside, above 0.8898 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again. But in case of recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8952 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9125; (R1) 0.9152; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9207 would be an early sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9304 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.9097 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8982 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9795; (P) 0.9811; (R1) 0.9828; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for deeper decline. As noted before, the rebound from 0.9420 could have completed at 1.0037 already. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9565. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9565. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could be a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. In case pull back fro 1.0037 extends, we’d still expect the long term support at 0.9420 to hold.

USD/CHF’s extended rebound last week suggests that a short term bottom was formed at 0.8886 already. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.9086 resistance first. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 0.9342 resistance next. On the downside, however, below 0.8962 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8886 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9658; (P) 0.9683; (R1) 0.9713; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9651 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9775 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9544; (P) 0.9581; (R1) 0.9610; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.9537 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9427 first. Break of 0.9427 will resume whole decline from 1.3042. Meanwhile, considering it’s close to to 0.9443 key support, consolidation from 0.9427 might extend further. But still, break of 0.9772 resistance is needed to confirm near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish for another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8518; (R1) 0.8528; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.8332 is extending and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.9613 extended higher last week but it stays below 0.9807 resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further decline is still expected as long as 0.9807 holds. Below 0.9613 will extend the whole fall from 1.0342 to 0.9548 support and below. We’d start to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9807 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9832; (P) 0.9853; (R1) 0.9869; More…

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.9803 extends but stays below 0.9908. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9908 resistance would resume the rebound from 0.9695, through 0.9951, to 1.0014 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9803 will extend the fall from 0.9951 to retest 0.9695 low.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF recovered ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8979 last week. But upside was capped by 55 4H EMA (now at 0.9075). Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9086 will indicate that pull back from 0.9243 has completed, and turn bias to the upside for retesting this high. However, sustained break of 0.8979 will argue that deeper fall is under way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8815.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8976) holds rise from 0.8551 is viewed as reversing whole down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). On resumption, further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9537 and above. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will revive medium term bearishness, for retesting 0.8551 low at a later stage.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9713; (P) 0.9729; (R1) 0.9748; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. With 0.9630 minor support intact, further rise is expected to 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783 first. As noted before, prior break of 0.9699 resistance suggests near term reversal after defending 0.9443 key support. Break of 0.9783 will target channel resistance (now at 0.9887). On the downside, break of 0.9630, however, will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9107; (P) 0.9135; (R1) 0.9180; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9224 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9019 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9224 will resume the rally from 0.8551 to 0.9439 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8923) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8947; (P) 0.8991; (R1) 0.9021; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 0.9471 should target a test on 0.8756 low. On the upside, break of 0.9092 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9876; (P) 0.9895; (R1) 0.9923; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9484 support first. Sustained break there will confirm near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765 and below. On the upside, above 0.9943 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.0008 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will now remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9259; (P) 0.9298; (R1) 0.9345; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook despite breaching 0.9392 minor resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9254 will extend recent fall from 1.0037 to next fibonacci projection level at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 0.9392 minor resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. That will bring stronger rebound back to 0.9420 support turned resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.