USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9656; (P) 0.9689; (R1) 0.9707; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment, with focus on 0.9772 resistance. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9772 key resistance will suggest that whole down trend form 1.0342 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 0.9860/1.0099 resistance zone. Nonetheless, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Below 0.9587 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on whether 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend from 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9968; (R1) 0.9985; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9812 support and below. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we’ll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9124; (P) 0.9141; (R1) 0.9161; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9956; (R1) 0.9986; More

USD/CHF recovers ahead of 0.9908 support and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9904 will resume the fall from 1.0128 to 0.9848 key support level. Break there will indicate near term reversal and target 61.8% at 0.9765. On the upside, break of 1.0006 will argue that the pull back from 1.0128 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1028.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9088; (P) 0.9100; (R1) 0.9126; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as it’s still bounded in range of 0.8998/9200. On the downside, break of 0.8998 will resume larger down trend. Nevertheless, break of 0.9200 will resume the rebound towards 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8971; (P) 0.9001; (R1) 0.9031; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.8929 could extend further. Still, outlook stays bearish with 0.9046 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8929 will resume the fall from 0.9471, to retest 0.8756 low. However, on the upside, break of 0.9045 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9717; (P) 0.9786; (R1) 0.9823; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. On the downside, break of 0.9694 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg, towards 0.9478 support first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9896; (P) 0.9957; (R1) 0.9990; More

USD/CHF formed a temporary top at 1.0016 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0016, and retreated sharply. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. But outlook stays mildly bullish as long as 0.9843 support holds. Further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 1.0016 will target 78.6% retracement at 1.0113 next. However, on the downside, firm break of 0.9843 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 0.9659 low.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Sustained break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9381; (P) 0.9457; (R1) 0.9502; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for 0.9355 support. Break there will resume the decline from 1.0146 to 0.9287 fibonacci level. Near term outlook stays bearish with 0.9680 minor resistance intact, in case of another recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9767) holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9901; (P) 0.9924; (R1) 0.9942; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9990 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 0.9856 resistance turn support to bring another rally. As note before, corrective pull back from 1.0128 has completed at 0.9716 already. Above 0.9990 will extend the rise from 0.9716 to retest 1.0128 high.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 0.9963 will affirm this bullish case. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9142; (P) 0.9167; (R1) 0.9195; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral as it lost momentum ahead of 0.9072 resistance. Further rise is still mildly in favor as long as 0.9115 minor support holds. Decisive break of 0.9207 resistance would be an early sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9304 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.9115 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8982 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9820; (P) 0.9847; (R1) 0.9894; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9877 suggests resumption of rebound from 0.9659. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9975 resistance first. Decisive break there should confirm near term reversal and target 1.0237 high next. On the downside, below 0.9800 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9713 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance will turn focus back to 1.0237. Break will resume larger up trend.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9772; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9817; More….

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0037 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on he downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9656 and above 0.9420. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8827; (P) 0.8873; (R1) 0.8904; More….

Consolidation from 0.8822 is still extending and intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8982 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.8822 will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9949; (P) 0.9970; (R1) 0.9998; More

USD/CHF’s rally re-accelerates to as high as 1.0015 in early US session and intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.0067 resistance next. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger rise from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9955 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9848 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9907; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 0.9946; More

USD/CHF continues to gyrate around flat 4 hour 55 EMA and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.9855 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0056 with another fall. Intraday bias would be turned to the downside for 0.9787 and below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9991 will target a test on 1.0056 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 is seen as a leg inside the long term range pattern. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. Above 1.0056 will target 1.0342 (2016 high). In that case, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9233; (P) 0.9288; (R1) 0.9324; More….

With break of 0.9243 minor support, intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the downside for deeper fall. Overall, with 0.9090 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8925 should extend higher. Above 0.9341 will target 0.9372 and then 0.9471. However, strong break of 0.9090 will argue that rise from 0.8925 is over, and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9885; (P) 0.9918; (R1) 0.9981; More

USD/CHF recovered after forming a temporary low at 0.9854. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation first. Upside should be limited by 1.0008 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9854 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712).

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Sustained break should confirm that medium term up trend from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9629; (P) 0.9651; (R1) 0.9672; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 0.9541 extends today. Further rise should be seen to 0.9757 resistance first. Firm break there will target 0.9866 key resistance level, 61.8% retracement of 1.0067 to 0.9541 at 0.9866. On the downside, below 0.9635 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9541 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and possibly below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggest that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9951; (R1) 0.9989; More

USD/CHF recovered after drawing support from near term rising channel. But it’s staying in consolidation from 1.0027 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further is expected with 0.9843 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will resume the rise from 0.9659 for 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.