USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9948; (P) 0.9987; (R1) 1.0011; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.0026 temporary top. Overall, near term outlook stays bullish as long as 0.9848 support holds. Above 1.0026 will target 1.0067 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger rise from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance next. However, break of 0.9848 support will indicate near term reversal, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8740; (P) 0.8760; (R1) 0.8785; More….

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8851 resume today and intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 0.8818 support turned resistance will carry larger bullish implication. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance next. For now, outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 0.8688 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, A medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8551 already, on bullish convergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading above 0.8818 will bring further rise to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction. Nevertheless, break of 0.8851 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9486; (P) 0.9518; (R1) 0.9543; More

USD/CHF’s rise resumed after brief retreat. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Rebound from 0.9186 is targeting 0.9626 fibonacci level. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9626 to limit upside. Nonetheless, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.9423 will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9186. And intraday bias would then be turned back to the downside for 0.9356 support and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9727; (P) 0.9743; (R1) 0.9765; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside for 0.9082 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.9901 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9681 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, consolidation from 0.9901 is still in progress and could extend. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9602; (P) 0.9636; (R1) 0.9694; More

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.9369 resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Outlook is unchanged that triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Further rise should be seen to 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9576 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8893; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8920; More….

Deeper decline is still in favor in USD/CHF with 0.8939 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.8837 will target a test on 0.8756 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8939 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside, and could extend the corrective rise from 0.8756 through 0.9044.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9821; (P) 0.9842; (R1) 0.9862; More

USD/CHF’s extends today by taking out 0.9866 cluster resistance and hits as high as 0.9889 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 0.9866 will pave the way to retest 1.0067 high. On the downside, though, break of 0.9822 minor support will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, focus is now back on 0.9866 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will suggests that pull back from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541. And larger rise from 0.9186 low is ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.0067 will pave the way to 1.0342 key resistance next. Meanwhile, break of 0.9541 will extend the decline but we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low even in that case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9714; (P) 0.9737; (R1) 0.9778; More…..

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as the consolidation from 0.9613 continues. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. As long as 0.9807 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish and deeper fall is expected. Below 0.9613 will extend the whole decline from 1.0342 to 0.9548 support and below. We’d start to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9807 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9159; (P) 0.9196; (R1) 0.9255; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 0.9289 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9947; (R1) 0.9964; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 0.9978. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9911 minor support holds. Consolidation from 1.0227 could have completed at 0.9851 already. Above 0.9978 will target 1.0027 high. Break will resume whole rally from 0.9659. On the downside, however, break of 0.9911 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9851.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9825; (P) 0.9892; (R1) 0.9945; More

USD/CHF’s decline extends to as low as 0.9793 so far today. The strong break of 0.9848 support and downside acceleration is taken as an early sign trend reversal. Intraday bias is now on the downside for cluster support at 0.9765/8 (61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765, 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9768). We’ll look for bottoming signal again there but decisive break will pave the way back to 0.9541 support.

In the bigger picture, the deeper then expected fall form 1.0128 argues that medium term rally from 0.9186 might have completed at 1.0128 already, on bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Break of 0.9541 key support will confirm this bearish case. More importantly, the corrective three wave structure will in turn argue that long term decline from 1.0342 (2016 high) is resuming. In that case, 0.9186 will be the next target.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9467; (P) 0.9484; (R1) 0.9499; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the downside, below 0.9420 minor support will bring retest of 0.9376 low. Break will resume the whole decline form 0.9901 and target 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. On the upside, firm break of 0.9554 will resume the rebound from 0.9376 instead. In this case, further rally would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9593).

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8948; (P) 0.8974; (R1) 0.9000; More….

USD/CHF is staying in range above 0.8929 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9046 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8929 will resume the fall from 0.9471, to retest 0.8756 low. However, on the upside, break of 0.9045 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8467; (P) 0.8511; (R1) 0.8535; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8332 is in progress. Outlook stays bearish with 0.8665 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8975; (P) 0.9035; (R1) 0.9064; More….

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9471 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for retesting 0.8756 low. On the upside, break of 0.9163 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9609; (P) 0.9652; (R1) 0.9681; More……

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.9551 is still in progress. In case of another rise, upside is expected to be limited by 0.9770 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.9595 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside. In such case, USD/CHF should fall through 0.9551 support resume the whole fall from 1.0342 and target 0.9443 key support level next. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9770 will indicate near term reversal, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9167; (P) 0.9204; (R1) 0.9240; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9042; (P) 0.9113; (R1) 0.9155; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056 will resume the whole fall from 1.0146 to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by 0.9287 resistance, should confirm short term bottoming.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF edged lower last week as fall from 0.9471 continued. Despite loss of downside momentum as see in 4 hour MACD, outlook is unchanged. Further fall is expected this week to retest 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9046 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8951; (P) 0.8970; (R1) 0.8988; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.8929 could extend. But outlook stays bearish for deeper decline. On the downside, break of 0.8929 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, firm break of 0.9052 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, and target 38.2% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8929 at 0.9136 first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.