Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9911; (P) 0.9940; (R1) 0.9962; More…..

Downside momentum in USD/CHF remains a bit unconvincing as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 0.9999 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is still expected. Current decline from 1.0107 will extend to 0.9812 support and below. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we’ll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9167; (P) 0.9200; (R1) 0.9217; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. As long as 0.9084 support holds, choppy rise from 0.8925 could still extend higher. Above 0.9213 will target 0.9293 and then 0.9372. However, break of 0.9101 will resume the fall from 0.9372 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9181; (P) 0.9228; (R1) 0.9269; More…

USD/CHF is still bounded in range of 0.9165/9407 and intraday bias stays neutral. Also, outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9407 resistance holds. Break of 0.9165 will resume whole fall from 1.0146. However, firm break of 0.9407 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9953; (P) 0.9988; (R1) 1.0039; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.0037 could extend. In case of another fall, downside should be contained above 0.9835 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. On the upside break of 1.0037 will resume whole rally from 0.9420. And with sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990, USD/CHF should then target a test on 1.0342 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could is a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9186; (P) 0.9220; (R1) 0.9241; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9274 will suggest that the pull back from 0.9372 is finished. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9372. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0071; (P) 1.0091; (R1) 1.0130; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.9541 is resuming whole rally from 0.9861. Next target is 1.0342 key resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9952 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 0.9952 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading. However, firm break of 0.9848 near term support will dampen this view and bring deeper decline back to 0.9541 support and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9534; (P) 0.9564; (R1) 0.9599; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF is unchanged and intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained break of 0.9591 medium term projection level will pave the way to next at 0.9864. On the downside, break of 0.9453 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) could have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9193 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0060; (P) 1.0089; (R1) 1.0110; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.0124 temporary top. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 1.0027 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.0124 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0098 from 0.9926 at 1.0162 and then 100% projection at 1.0308.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9926 support will be the first signal of medium term reversal and bring another test on the trend line.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9951; (P) 0.9969; (R1) 0.9995; More…..

With 1.0018 minor resistance intact, intraday bias remains downside in USD/CHF for 0.9860 support. Recovery from 0.9860 has completed at 1.0169 and whole decline from 1.0342 is likely resuming. Break of 0.9860 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687. On the upside, above 1.0018 minor resistance will turn bias neutral. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.0169 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9625; (P) 0.9644; (R1) 0.9676; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 0.9901 is in its third leg and further fall is in favor. Break of 0.9588 will target 0.9502 support. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, above 0.9669 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9802 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9734; (P) 0.9793; (R1) 0.9867; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9901 is extending. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 0.9649 support to bring another rally. As noted before, fall form 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9181. Above 0.9901 will target 1.0023 resistance and then 1.0237. However, firm break of 0.9649 will dampen immediate bullishness and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9940; (P) 0.9975; (R1) 1.0000; More…..

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0169 continues and intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.9860. Corrective rise from 0.9860 should have completed at 1.0169 and fall from 1.0342 is likely resuming. Break of 0.9860 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687. On the upside, 1.0018 minor resistance will turn bias neutral. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.0169 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9713; (P) 0.9753; (R1) 0.9802; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9703 continues. Strong recovery cannot be ruled out but upside should be limited well below 0.9975 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.9695 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9131; (P) 0.9164; (R1) 0.9201; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.9273. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8954; (P) 0.8978; (R1) 0.9001; More….

With 0.9046 resistance intact, further decline is expected in USD/CHF. Current fall from 0.9471 should target a test on 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9046 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9927; (P) 0.9946; (R1) 0.9959; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9907 minor support holds. Above 0.9970 will target 1.0027 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 0.9659. Next target is 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113. On the downside, break of 0.9907 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9841 support instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9461; (P) 0.9488; (R1) 0.9516; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in range of 0.9423/9568. Intraday bias remains neutral. As noted before, rebound from 0.9186 could still extend higher. But considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, upside should be limited by 0.9626 key fibonacci level, to complete the rebound from 0.9186. Break of 0.9432 support will indicate near term reversal and turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9186 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.9058 continued last week and hit as high as 0.9411. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474. On the downside, break of 0.9289 resistance turned support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0146 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern. As long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 holds, another fall is in favor through 0.9058. However, sustained trading above 0.9474 will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up further rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.9730 and above.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9117; (P) 0.9148; (R1) 0.9167; More….

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9471 resumes by breaking 0.9127 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029 next. Sustained break there would bring retest of 0.8756 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.9194 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low at a later stage.

USD/CHF gyrated higher to 0.9407 last week but failed to extend gain. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9407 will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9199 at 0.9561. However, firm break of 0.9199 will resume the whole decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending and it’s probably in another medium term down leg. Downside will likely be contained by 0.8756 support in case of deeper fall. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.