USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9491; (P) 0.9529; (R1) 0.9603; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9420 temporary low. But after all, near term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9679 resistance holds. Deeper fall is still expected. Sustained break of 0.9420 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0099 to 0.9437 from 0.9772 at 0.9363 first. Break will target 100% projection at 0.9110 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9891; (P) 0.9905; (R1) 0.9921; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 0.9659 is in progress for 0.9975 resistance first. Decisive break there will indicate completion of whole fall from 1.0237. In this case, further rise should be seen to retest 1.0237. On the downside, though, break of 0.9800 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9713 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. Butt decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9180; (P) 0.9227; (R1) 0.9255; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point and intraday bias stays neutral first. Another rise could still be seen as long as 0.9141 support holds. Break of 0.9273 would pave the way to 0.9471 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.9141 support will argue that the rebound from 0.8925 has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for this low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9468; (P) 0.9499; (R1) 0.9516; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as it’s bounded in tight range below 0.9554 temporary top. On the upside, break of 0.9554 will resume the rebound from 0.9376 short term bottoming. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.9630) will pave the way back to 0.9901 resistance. Though, on the downside, break of 0.9376 will resume the fall from 0.9901 instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9036; (P) 0.9056; (R1) 0.9072; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 0.8925 should have completed at 0.9273. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.8925 low. On the upside, above 0.9116 support turned resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0..9183) affirms medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9273 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9854; (P) 0.9906; (R1) 0.9934; More

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0067 is still in progress for 0.9856 first. Break will target 0.9787 support next. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in consolidation from 1.0056 with fall from 1.0067 as the third leg. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9977 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, near term outlook is mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9585; (P) 0.9612; (R1) 0.9645; More….

At this point, further fall is still mildly in favor in USD/CHF for 0.9420 support. Also, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Break of 0.9420 will resume medium term fall from 1.0342 and target next long term fibonacci level at 0.9090. However, firm break of 0.9772 will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9906; (P) 0.9928; (R1) 0.9947; More…..

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9879 temporary low. Intraday bias stays neutral for more consolidations. As long as 1.0010 minor resistance holds, further decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, below 0.9879 will resume the fall from 1.0124 to 0.9716 key support. Nevertheless, break of 1.0010 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0124/28 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on medium term trend line (now at 0.9846). Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed. Further break of 0.9716 will confirm reversal and target next support level at 0.9541. Nevertheless, there is still a chance that price action from 1.0128 are forming a consolidative pattern with fall from 1.0124 as third leg. If this is the case, stronger support should be seen between 0.9716 and the trend line to contain downside.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9105; (P) 0.9132; (R1) 0.9160; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9079 continues. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further fall is expected with 0.9180 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9079 will resume the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9180 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low at a later stage.

 

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9641; (P) 0.9690; (R1) 0.9716; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Fall from 0.9884 is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Below 0.9652 will target 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9788 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9780; (P) 0.9808; (R1) 0.9841; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.9659 might extend further. On the downside, break of 0.9659 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9877 will target 0.9975 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9554; (P) 0.9586; (R1) 0.9631; More….

Rebound from 0.9420 is quite strong. But still, with 0.9679 resistance intact, outlook stays bearish. Another fall is still expected. Sustained break of 0.9420 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0099 to 0.9437 from 0.9772 at 0.9363 first. Break will target 100% projection at 0.9110 next. However, break of 0.9679 will indicate near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 0.9772 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9763; (P) 0.9793; (R1) 0.9828; More…..

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, a temporary lot is in place at 0.9758. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first. Some consolidation would be seen but upside of recovery would be limited by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9907) to bring another fall. Break of 0.9758 will extend the whole fall from 1.0342 towards 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9877; (P) 0.9911; (R1) 0.9932; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9848 support. Decisive break there will confirm near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765 and below. Above upside, above 0.9943 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.0008 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will now remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9554; (P) 0.9586; (R1) 0.9631; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral. And, with 0.9679 resistance intact, outlook stays bearish. Another fall is still expected. Sustained break of 0.9420 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0099 to 0.9437 from 0.9772 at 0.9363 first. Break will target 100% projection at 0.9110 next. However, break of 0.9679 will indicate near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 0.9772 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9137; (R1) 0.9160; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9174 resistance holds. Break of 0.9084 will resume the fall from 0.9367 to 0.9017 support, and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0089; (P) 1.0106; (R1) 1.0126; More

USD/CHF weakens mildly after failing to break 4 hour 55 EMA. But it’s staying above 1.0050 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline remains mildly in favor as long as 1.0126 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support. However, firm break of 1.0126 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0237 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9754; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9828; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point and some more consolidation could be seen below 0.9484. On the downside, break of 0.9741 will suggest rejection by 0.9851 and retain near term bearishness. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9613 low. On the upside, sustained break of 0.9851 will add to the case of bullish near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9999 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0030; (P) 1.0064; (R1) 1.0085; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral from consolidation below 1.0098 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9988 support holds. On the upside, above 1.0098 will target 1.0128 first. Break will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. However, break of 0.9988 will indicate rejection by 1.0128 and turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9716 support again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9881; (P) 0.9953; (R1) 0.9996; More

USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.9902 so far today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9879 key support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications and target 0.9716 support next. On the upside, break of 1.0008 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Decisive break should add to the case that rise from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next.