USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0058; (P) 1.0073; (R1) 1.0096; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0119 resistance will suggest that decline from 1.0237 is merely a correction and has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0237. That will also retain medium term bullishness in the pair. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0008 should pave the way to retest 0.9879 key support next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is losing upside momentum ahead of 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). There is no clear sign of reversal yet. But even in case of another rise, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support will suggest that larger rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed. Deeper fall will be seen to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9137; (P) 0.9154; (R1) 0.9172; More….

USD/CHF’s decline from 0.9471 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. On the upside, break of 0.9244 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, deeper fall will remain in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8983; (P) 0.8992; (R1) 0.9007; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8925 is extending. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9052 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8925 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, firm break of 0.9052 resistance will now confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9103; (P) 0.9113; (R1) 0.9131; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.9151 could extend, but further is expected as long as 0.8996 support holds. Break of 0.9151 will resume the larger rise from 0.8332 to 0.9243 resistance. However, firm break of 0.8996 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8953).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9205; (P) 0.9219; (R1) 0.9244; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Some consolidations could be seen first. On the upside, above 0.9241 will target 0.9273 resistance. Firm break there will resume rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. However, break of 0.9128 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9948; (R1) 1.0030; More…..

USD/CHF’s rally extends to as high as 1.0055 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside. As noted before, current development revived the case that correction from 1.0342 is already completed at 0.9812. Further rise should be seen to 1.0107 resistance first. Decisive break there will bring a retest on 1.0342 high. On the downside, below 0.9991 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation first before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8802; (P) 0.8819; (R1) 0.8841; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8884 and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8727 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8885 will resume the rise from 0.8332 and target and 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9094; (P) 0.9108; (R1) 0.9125; More….

USD/CHF lost downside momentum after hitting 0.9088, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another fall is mildly in favor. Below 0.9088 will target a test on 0.8982 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 0.9207 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bullish reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of another rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0129; (P) 1.0163; (R1) 1.0185; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 1.0342 continues. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 1.0019 to contain downside and bring rally resumption. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9062; (P) 0.9100; (R1) 0.9123; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9076 suggests resumption of fall from 0.9192. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8982 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9192 resistance will be the first sign of bullish reversal and bring stronger rise to 0.9304 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9159; (P) 0.9221; (R1) 0.9276; More

With 0.9261 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the downside. Current decline from 1.0146 should target 100% projection of 0.9545 to 0.9199 from 0.9407 at 0.9061 next. On the upside, above 0.9261 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0086; (P) 1.0111; (R1) 1.0135; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Rise from 0.9443 could have completed at 1.0342 already, after failing to sustain above 1.0327 key resistance. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.9443/9548 support zone. On the upside, above 1.0135 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.0342 resistance intact.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we’re still extend the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9592; (P) 0.9638; (R1) 0.9674; More….

A temporary low is in place at 0.9602 and intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first. Near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9844 resistance holds. Below 0.9602 will extend the decline from 1.0037 to retest 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9050; (P) 0.9071; (R1) 0.9100; More….

USD/CHF’s rally is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise is in progress for 0.9243 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9005 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9757; (P) 0.9803; (R1) 0.9891; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Recovery from 0.9716 should be limited well below 0.9963 resistance to bring another decline. Current fall from 1.0128 should be correcting whole rise from 0.9186. Below 0.9716 will target 0.9541 (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9919; (P) 0.9941; (R1) 0.9963; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation form 0.9897 is still in progress. At this point, with 0.9999 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is still in favor. Below 0.9897 temporary low will turn bias to the downside for 0.9812 and possibly below. Nonetheless, whole decline from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we’ll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9409; (P) 0.9478; (R1) 0.9525; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 0.9355 and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9680 minor resistance holds, in case of another recovery. On the downside, firm break of 0.9355 will resume the decline from 1.0146 to 0.9287 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9726) holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9824; (R1) 0.9881; More

Further rally is expected in USD/CHF as long as 0.9691 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9884 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9691 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9469 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8860; (P) 0.8888; (R1) 0.8915; More….

USD/CHF is staying in range below 0.8925 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8925 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8756. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. Though, break of 0.8821 minor support will retain near term bearishness. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8756 low next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9622; (P) 0.9683; (R1) 0.9725; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside decisive break of 0.9772 resistance will suggest that whole down trend form 1.0342 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 0.9860/1.0099 resistance zone. Nonetheless, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Below 0.9587 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart