USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9114; (P) 0.9136; (R1) 0.9164; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9828; (P) 0.9836; (R1) 0.9847; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851 first. Decisive break there will add to the case of bullish near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9999 next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9851, will indicate that fall from 1.0237 is not finished. Break of 0.9741 support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9623; (P) 0.9662; (R1) 0.9702; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside for 0.9868 resistance first. Firm break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. Overall, the corrective pattern from 1.0063 high could still extend. Below 0.9619 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9478 and below.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8678; (P) 0.8717; (R1) 0.8766; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8665 and intraday bias stays neutral. Another fall is in favor as long as 0.8769 minor resistance holds. Below 0.8665 will resume the decline from 0.9243 to 161.8% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8533, which is close to 0.8551 low. However, break of 0.8769 minor resistance should indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.8886 support turned resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8932; (P) 0.8953; (R1) 0.8976; More….

With 0.9046 resistance intact, further decline is expected in USD/CHF. Current fall from 0.9471 should target a retest on 0.8756 low. However, on the upside, break of 0.9046 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9625; (P) 0.9644; (R1) 0.9676; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 0.9901 is in its third leg and further fall is in favor. Break of 0.9588 will target 0.9502 support. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, above 0.9669 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9802 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9738; (P) 0.9786; (R1) 0.9818; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9901 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 0.9649 support to bring another rally. As noted before, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9181. Above 0.9901 will target 1.0023 resistance and then 1.0237. However, firm break of 0.9649 will dampen immediate bullishness and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8942; (P) 0.8958; (R1) 0.8981; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF inside 0.8869/9044 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 0.9044 will resume the corrective rise from 0.8756. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9044 from 0.8869 at 0.9127 next. On the downside, break of 0.8869 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8837 and then 0.8756 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9059; (P) 0.9095; (R1) 0.9140; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for retesting 0.8998. Break will resume larger down trend. Nevertheless, break of 0.9200 will resume the rebound towards 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8967; (P) 0.8982; (R1) 0.9010; More….

USD/CHF is staying in range above 0.8952 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, below 0.8952 will target a test on 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 instead, and target 0.9243 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9206; (P) 0.9229; (R1) 0.9261; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 0.92879 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0182; (P) 1.0199; (R1) 1.0214; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0237 temporary top and intraday bias remain neutral. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 1.0130 minor support to bring rise resumption. Prior break of 1.0128 resistance confirmed resumption of up trend from 0.9186. On the upside, above 1.0237 will target 100% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0124 from 0.9879 at 1.0287, and then 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0130 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper retreat first.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9846; (P) 0.9900; (R1) 0.9932; More

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged. Price actions from 1.0027 are seen as consolidation pattern. Downside should be contained by 0.9843 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will resume the rise from 0.9659 to 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. However, firm break of 0.9843 will argue that rise from 0.9659 has completed. In this case, further fall should be seen to retest 0.9659.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9897; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 0.9948; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. As 0.9999 resistance stays intact, deeper decline is still mildly in favor. Below 0.9893 will target 0.9812 and below to extend the correction from 1.0342. But break of 0.9812 should be brief and we will look for bottoming signal below there. On the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance argues that fall from 1.0107 is finished, with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In that case, intraday bias will be flipped back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9649; (P) 0.9673; (R1) 0.9700; More

USD/CHF’s consolidation from 0.9613 is in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9762 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9613 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9803).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.8998 last week but recovered since then. Upside is still limited by 0.9161 resistance and thus outlook stays bearish. Break of 0.8998 support will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. However, sustained break of 0.9161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9232) and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9931; (P) 0.9954; (R1) 0.9979; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9920 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor. Above 0.9984 will target a test on 1.0067 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9920 minor support will turn bias to the downside, to bring another decline to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9824; (R1) 0.9881; More

Further rally is expected in USD/CHF as long as 0.9691 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9884 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9691 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9469 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8747; (P) 0.8787; (R1) 0.8823; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral again as it failed to sustain above 0.8825 and retreated. On the upside, sustained trading above 0.8818 support turned resistance will carry larger bullish implication. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance next. However, break of 0.8688 support will indicate rejection by 0.8818, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8551 already, on bullish convergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading above 0.8818 will bring further rise to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction. Nevertheless, break of 0.8851 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 instead.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF tried to break 0.9989 resistance last week but failed and reversed. Initial bias is neutral this week first. The development suggests that price action from 0.9787 is a corrective pattern. That is, the fall from 1.0056, which itself is a correction too, isn’t completed. On the downside, break of 0.9855 will turn bias to the downside for 0.9787 and below. Nonetheless, we’d expect strong support from 0.9722/4 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724, 100% projection of 1.0056 to 0.9787 from 0.9991 at 0.9722) to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9991 will target a test on 1.0056 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 is seen as a leg inside the long term range pattern. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. Above 1.0056 will target 1.0342 (2016 high). In that case, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.