USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9625; (P) 0.9656; (R1) 0.9705; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Above 0.9691 will t target 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9500 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9656; (P) 0.9689; (R1) 0.9707; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment, with focus on 0.9772 resistance. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9772 key resistance will suggest that whole down trend form 1.0342 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 0.9860/1.0099 resistance zone. Nonetheless, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Below 0.9587 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on whether 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend from 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0037 extended to as low as 0.9776 last week. The development argues that rebound from 0.9420 is completed at 1.0037 already. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9656 and above 0.9420. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

In the long term picture, while upside momentum is unconvincing, with 0.9443 key support intact, rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9918; (P) 0.9972; (R1) 1.0024; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF retreats sharply with a temporary top formed at 1.0027. Some consolidations could be seen but further rise is expected as long as 0.9843 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will extend the rally from 0.9659 to 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Sustained break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8885; (P) 0.8908; (R1) 0.8927; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for 0.8837 support. The corrective rise from 0.8756 should have completed with three waves to 0.9044 already. Break of 0.8837 will bring retest of 0.8756 low. On the upside, above 0.8945 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9649; (P) 0.9673; (R1) 0.9700; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some consolidations could be seen first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9762 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9613 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9803).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9225; (P) 0.9257; (R1) 0.9295; More

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9407 resistance holds. Break of 0.9165 will resume whole fall from 1.0146. However, firm break of 0.9407 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9564; (P) 0.9580; (R1) 0.9614; More….

USD/CHF continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen. But downside should be contained above 0.9372 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, sustained break of 0.9591 medium term projection level will pave the way to next at 0.9864.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) could have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9193 support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9227; (P) 0.9255; (R1) 0.9272; More….

Break of 0.9231 suggests resumption of correction form 0.9471. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9280 will turn bias to the upside for rebound back towards 0.9471 high. However, sustained break of 0.9198 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9192) will dampen revive medium term bearishness for down trend extension through 0.8756 at a later stage.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0030; (P) 1.0064; (R1) 1.0085; More….

USD/CHF rebounds strongly in early US session but stays below 1.0098 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In any case, further rally is expected as long as 0.9988 support holds. On the upside, above 1.0098 will target 1.0128 first. Break will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. However, break of 0.9988 will indicate rejection by 1.0128 and turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9716 support again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9335; (P) 0.9348; (R1) 0.9372; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9372. Another rise will remain in favor as long as 0.9248 support holds. Above 0.9372 will target 0.9471 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 0.9248 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9084 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9471 resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high) could still extend through 0.8756 low. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will revive the case of medium term bullish reversal. In this case, we’d assess the change of retesting 1.0342 high at a later stage, by looking at the upside momentum first.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8888; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8947; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. But further fall is expected with 0.8939 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8869 will resume the fall from 0.9044 to retest 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.8939 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside, and could extend the corrective rise from 0.8756 through 0.9044.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9707; (P) 0.9722; (R1) 0.9745; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying in consolidation from 0.9691. In case of another rise, upside is expected to be limited by 0.9858 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. Whole decline from 1.0342 is still in progress and below 0.9691 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. We’ll start to look for reversal signal below there.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9573; (P) 0.9627; (R1) 0.9658; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9797 should target 0.9502 and below. But price actions from 0.9901 are possibly forming a consolidation pattern. Strong support might be seen from 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, above 0.9687 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9797 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.9456 will pave the way to retest 0.9181 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9185; (P) 0.9202; (R1) 0.9223; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Corrective rebound from 0.8998 has completed with three waves up to 0.9304. Further fall should be seen for retesting 0.8998 low. On the upside, break of 0.9218 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9304 instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9884 extended lower last week and outlook is unchanged. Such decline is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Initial bias stays on the downside for 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9738 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that the correction from 1.0342 (2016 high) has completed at 0.8756 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm and target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9280; (P) 0.9303; (R1) 0.9345; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.8925 is in progress for retesting 0.9471 key resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, though, below 0.9258 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9182) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9447; (P) 0.9461; (R1) 0.9478; More

With 0.9492 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for further decline. Sustained trading below 0.9443 key support will extend the down trend from 1.0342 to 161.8% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9319. On the upside, above 0.9492 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9699 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, focus is now back 0.9443 key support level. Sustained break there indicate underlying bearish momentum and would target 0.9 handle and possibly below. Meanwhile, strong rebound from current level and break 0.9699 resistance will extend long term range trading between 0.9443/1.0342.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9800; (P) 0.9824; (R1) 0.9841; More

With 0.9908 minor resistance intact, further decline is expected in USD?CHF for retesting 0.9695 low first. Break will resume whole decline from 1.0237. On the upside, break of 0.9908 resistance will likely resume the rebound from 0.9695, through 0.9951, to 1.0014 resistance.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9637; (P) 0.9675; (R1) 0.9745; More

US/CHF’s breach of 0.9763 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.0063 has completed at 0.9854 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9525. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.0063 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. In case of another fall, strong support is still expected from 0.9525 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.