USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9593; (P) 0.9625; (R1) 0.9657; More

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0342 resumed by taking out 0.9551 and reaches as low as 0.9528 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9443 key support level next. At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. Nonetheless, break of 0.9699 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9123; (P) 0.9182; (R1) 0.9235; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s retreat. But rebound from 0.9056 short term top is still in favor to continue with 0.9121 minor support holds. Break of 0.9241 will target 0.9376 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.9056 at 0.9379). But upside should be limited there to bring another decline. On the downside, below 0.9121 minor support will bring retest of 0.9056 low. However, sustained break of 0.9376/9 will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.9578.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9306; (P) 0.9387; (R1) 0.9455; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Sustained break of 161.8% projection of 1.0023 to 0.9613 from 0.9848 at 0.9185 will pave the way to 200% projection at 0.9028 next. On the upside, above 0.9390 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that decline from 1.0237 is the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Focus will be on 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. Sustained break there will argue that USD/CHF is in a long term down trend, which would target 138.2% projection at 0.8639 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9124; (P) 0.9161; (R1) 0.9181; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Risk remains mildly on the downside with 0.9273 resistance intact. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9126) will affirm the case that rebound from 0.8925 has completed at 0.9273. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 0.8925 low. On the upside though, break of 0.9273 and sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 will target 0.9471 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9615; (P) 0.9655; (R1) 0.9684; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Rise from 0.9478 would target 0.9868 resistance. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. Overall, the corrective pattern from 1.0063 high could still extend. Below 0.9554 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9478 and below.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s correction extend lower last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for trend line support (now at 0.9833). We’d expect strong support from trend line (now at 0.9830) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9977 will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056 high. However, sustained break of the trend will will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9094; (P) 0.9143; (R1) 0.9169; More

USD/CHF is still staying in range of 0.9089/9207 despite much volatility. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Another rise is in favor as long as 0.9089 support holds. Above 0.9207 will target 0.9304 resistance next. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343. On the downside, break of 0.9089 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9030 support instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9857; (R1) 0.9880; More

USD/CHF lost some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 0.9809 minor support intact, rebound from 0.9695 is in favor to extend to 1.0014 resistance. Upside could be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9695 at 1.0030. On the downside, below 0.9809 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9695 low instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8656; (P) 0.8678; (R1) 0.8719; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on mildly on the upside as rebound from 0.8553 short term bottom is in progress. Further rise would be seen towards 0.8818 support turned resistance. Rejection by 0.8818 will retain near term bearishness for another decline through 0.8553. Meanwhile for now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.8553 holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9329; (P) 0.9441; (R1) 0.9559; More

USD/CHF’s rebound form 0.9181 is still in progress, but we’d still expect strong resistance from 0.9613, and 61.8% retracement of 0.9484 to 0.9181 at 0.9593 to limit upside. Break of 0.9321 minor support will turn bias to the downside to bring retest of 0.9181 low. Break will resume larger down trend from 1.0237. However, sustained break of 0.9613 will indicate bullish reversal and target 0.9484 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). As long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, for 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. However, firm break of 0.9613 will suggest that 0.9186 key support (2018 low) was defended. USD/CHF should have then started another rising leg in the long term range patter, towards resistance zone of 1.0237 and 1.0342 (2016 high).

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9901; (P) 0.9941; (R1) 0.9998; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral first. Break of 1.0030 minor resistance will suggest that pull back from 1.0146 has completed at 0.9840. Bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.0146. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.0283 projection level. However, break of 0.9840 support will now be a sign of reversal, and bring deeper decline back to 0.9779 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9779 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8770; (P) 0.8793; (R1) 0.8807; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with a temporary top formed at 0.8819. Further rise remains in favor with 0.8727 minor support intact. Above 0.8819 will resume the rebound from 0.8665 short term bottom to 0.8886 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will indicate that whole fall from 0.9243 has completed, and bring stronger rally to 0.9111 resistance next. However, break of 0.8727 will turn bias back to the downside to retest 0.8665 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243 and above.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9976; (R1) 1.0079; More

USD/CHF’s rally resumed after brief consolidations. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0063 resistance. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9193 to 1.0063 from 0.9543 at 1.0413. On the downside, below 0.9872 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0035; (P) 1.0077; (R1) 1.0105; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for consolidation above 1.0050 temporary low. But upside of recovery would be limited by 1.0126 support turned resistance to bring another decline. ON the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9397; (P) 0.9467; (R1) 0.9542; More

USD/CHF quickly recovered after dipping to 0.9391. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. No change in view that rebound from 0.9181 is a corrective move. Upside should be limited by 0.9613 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9391 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9181/6 key support zone. On the upside, however, sustained break of 0.9613 support turned resistance will indicate bullish reversal and target 0.9484 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). As long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, further fall could be seen to 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. However, firm break of 0.9613 will suggest that 0.9186 key support (2018 low) was defended. USD/CHF should have then started another rising leg in the long term range pattern, towards resistance zone of 1.0237 and 1.0342 (2016 high).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9969; (P) 0.9990; (R1) 1.0033; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 0.9812 short term bottom continues. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.0021) will argue that whole decline from 1.0342 has completed. Further rise should then be seen to 1.0169 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.9934 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9812 instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9908; (P) 0.9927; (R1) 0.9954; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for 0.9951 resistance. Break will confirm resumption whole rebound from 0.9695. Next target will be 1.0014 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9874 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9803 support and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9227; (P) 0.9267; (R1) 0.9314; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Below 0.9212 will extend the correction from 0.9374 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8869 to 0.9374 at 0.9181. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 0.9295 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.9374 high.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.0237 has completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8898; (P) 0.8944; (R1) 0.8969; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.8837 support. The corrective rise from 0.8756 should have completed with three waves to 0.9044 already. Break of 0.8837 will bring retest of 0.8756 low. On the upside, above 0.8945 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9692; (P) 0.9714; (R1) 0.9758; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9758 temporary top. Deeper retreat could be seen, but downside should be contained well above 0.9459 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 0.9758 will resume larger rise to next medium term projection level at 0.9864.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.