USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.47; (P) 109.66; (R1) 110.02; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside as rise for 110.28 resistance. Break there will resume larger rebound from 104.45 and target medium term channel resistance at 111.23. On the downside, below 109.54 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.47; (P) 109.66; (R1) 110.02; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside as rise form 108.30 is target 110.28 resistance. Break there will resume larger rebound from 104.45. Break there will target medium term channel resistance at 111.23. On the downside, break of 109.30 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 108.30 support instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.86; (P) 109.21; (R1) 109.86; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for 110.28 resistance. Break there will resume larger rebound from 104.45. Break there will target medium term channel resistance at 111.23. On the downside, break of 109.30 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 108.30 support instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.86; (P) 109.21; (R1) 109.86; More..

USD/JPY’s break of 109.26 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 110.28 has completed at 108.30. More importantly, with 107.65 support intact, larger rebound from 104.45 is likely still in progress. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 110.28 first. Break there will target medium term channel resistance at 111.23. On the downside, break of 108.30 will target 107.65 key near term support instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.41; (P) 108.60; (R1) 108.89; More..

Current development suggests that a temporary low is formed at 108.30 in USD/JPY. Intraday bias is turned neutral first with focus back on 109.26 minor resistance. Break will suggest that pull back from 110.28 has completed. More importantly, larger rebound from 104.45 is still in progress. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 110.28 first. on the downside, break of 108.30 will resume the fall to 107.65 support next.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.41; (P) 108.60; (R1) 108.89; More..

USD/JPY is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 109.26 resistance intact, further decline is in favor to 107.65 support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 109.26 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.07; (P) 108.60; (R1) 108.89; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside. Fall from 110.28 is in progress for 107.65 key support next. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 109.26 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.07; (P) 108.60; (R1) 108.89; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 110.28 is expected to target 107.65 key support next. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 109.26 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 110.28 extended to as low as 108.31. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 107.65 key near term support next. On the upside, break of 109.26 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 (2015 high) is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.67; (P) 108.88; (R1) 109.17; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is still expected as long as 109.65 resistance holds. Break of 108.73 will target 107.65 key support. However, break of 109.65 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.67; (P) 108.88; (R1) 109.17; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral as it recovered after hitting 108.58. Further decline is still expected as long as 109.65 resistance holds. Break of 108.73 will target 107.65 key support. However, break of 109.65 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.92; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.21; More..

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation from 108.73 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is in favor as long as 109.65 minor resistance holds. Break of 108.73 will target 107.65 key support. However, break of 109.65 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.92; (P) 109.10; (R1) 109.21; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 108.73 temporary low. Further decline is in favor as long as 109.65 minor resistance holds. Break of 108.73 will target 107.65 key support. However, break of 109.65 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.87; (P) 109.04; (R1) 109.31; More..

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation from 108.73 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is in favor as long as 109.65 minor resistance holds. Break of 108.73 will target 107.65 key support. However, break of 109.65 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.87; (P) 109.04; (R1) 109.31; More..

A temporary low is formed at 108.73 in USD/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations Further decline is in favor as long as 109.65 minor resistance holds. Break of 108.73 will target 107.65 key support. However, break of 109.65 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.71; (P) 108.92; (R1) 109.12; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the downside for now. Fall from 110.28 should target a test on 107.65 support. Decisive break there will indicate completion of whole rebound from 104.45 and turn outlook bearish. On the upside, above 109.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.71; (P) 108.92; (R1) 109.12; More..

USD/JPY’s fall from 110.28 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 107.65 support. Break will indicate completion of whole rebound from 104.45 and turn outlook bearish. On the upside, above 109.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.09; (P) 109.37; (R1) 109.57; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 110.28 would target a test on 107.65 support. Break will indicate completion of whole rebound from 104.45 and turn outlook bearish. On the upside, above 109.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.09; (P) 109.37; (R1) 109.57; More..

USD/JPY drops to as low as 108.73 today as fall from 110.28 is in progress. With 55 day EMA taken out, next target will be 107.85 support. On the upside, above 109.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s decline last week indicates short term topping at 110.28, after hitting near term channel resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week.. Firm break of 55 day EMA (now at 109.14) will pave the way to 107.85 support. On the upside, above 109.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 110.28 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise form 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 (2015 high) is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.