USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s extended pullback last weeks indicates short term topping at 153.26. Initial bias remains mildly on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 148.64). Firm break there will target 145.47 support. On the upside, above 151.38 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound back to retest 153.26.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

In the long term picture, there is no sign that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. But then, firm break of 161.94 is needed to confirm resumption. Otherwise, more medium term range trading could still be seen.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.97; (P) 150.68; (R1) 151.16; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays mildly on the downside at this point. Fall from 153.26 short term top would target 55 D EMA (now at 148.58) instead. Sustained break there will raise the chance of bearish reversal and target 145.47 structural support next. On the upside, above 151.38 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.97; (P) 150.68; (R1) 151.16; More…

USD/JPY accelerates lower today and the break of 149.95 resistance turned support indicates that a short term top was already formed at 153.26. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 148.58) instead. Sustained break there will raise the chance of bearish reversal and target 145.47 structural support next. On the upside, above 151.38 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.68; (P) 151.28; (R1) 151.66; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as consolidations continue below 153.25. Intraday bias stays neutral. Downside should be contained by 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.58) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.68; (P) 151.28; (R1) 151.66; More…

USD/JPY is still staying in consolidations below 153.26 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside should be contained by 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.58) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.41; (P) 152.01; (R1) 152.42; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains as consolidation continues below 153.26. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.58) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.41; (P) 152.01; (R1) 152.42; More…

USD/JPY dips mildly today as correction from 153.26 continues, and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias remains neutral. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.58) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.86; (P) 152.16; (R1) 152.59; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidations below 153.26 and intraday bias stays neutral. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.48) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.86; (P) 152.16; (R1) 152.59; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 153.26. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.48) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.47; (P) 151.87; (R1) 152.58; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidations below 153.26 and intraday bias stays neutral. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.22) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.47; (P) 151.87; (R1) 152.58; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.22) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY surged sharply to as high as 153.26 last week but retreated from there. Initial bias stays neutral for consolidations, and downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support. Break of 153.26 will target 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. However, decisive break of 149.95 will bring deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 148.22) instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

In the long term picture, there is no sign that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. But then, firm break of 161.94 is needed to confirm resumption. Otherwise, more medium term range trading could still be seen.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.40; (P) 152.81; (R1) 153.51; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 153.26 temporary top. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 153.26 will resume larger rise to 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.40; (P) 152.81; (R1) 153.51; More…

USD/JPY edged higher to 153.26 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias stays neutral first and some more consolidations could be seen. Downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 153.26 will resume larger rise to 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.96; (P) 152.48; (R1) 153.22; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations would be seen below 153.20 temporary top first. But downside should be contained above 149.95 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 153.20 will resume larger rise to 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.96; (P) 152.48; (R1) 153.22; More…

USD/JPY’s rally from 145.47 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. On the downside, below 151.71 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.72; (P) 151.39; (R1) 152.55; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside for the moment, and further rally should be seen to 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. On the downside, below 151.71 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) has completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.72; (P) 151.39; (R1) 152.55; More…

USD/JPY’s rally accelerates higher today and intraday bias remains on the upside. Next near term target is 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 158.80. On the downside, below 151.71 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 (2024 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 158.86 to 139.87 at 151.22 suggests that it has already completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend might then be ready to resume through 161.94 high. On the downside, break of 145.47 support will dampen this bullish view and extend the corrective pattern with another falling leg.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.45; (P) 149.97; (R1) 150.88; More…

Breach of 150.90 suggests that USD/JPY’s rally from 139.87 is resuming. Intraday bias is stays on the upside for 151.22 fibonacci level. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 142.66 to 150.90 from 145.47 at 153.71. On the downside, below 149.74 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 (2024 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 158.86 to 139.87 at 151.22 will argue that it has already completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend might then be ready to resume through 161.94 high. In case the corrective pattern extends with another fall, strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.45; (P) 149.97; (R1) 150.88; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Break of 150.90 will resume larger rally from 139.87 to 151.22 fibonacci level. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, below 149.74 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 (2024 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 158.86 to 139.87 at 151.22 will argue that it has already completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend might then be ready to resume through 161.94 high. In case the corrective pattern extends with another fall, strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound.