USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY stayed in sideway consolidations last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Break of 158.06 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25. Firm break there will target 161.94 high. However, break of 155.94 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper pull back to 55 D EMA (now at 153.34).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. A medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 136.02).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.69; (P) 157.27; (R1) 158.10; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as consolidation continues in tight range below 158.06. While another retreat cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bullish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 153.34) holds. On the upside, above 158.06 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.69; (P) 157.27; (R1) 158.10; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral as consolidations continue below 158.06. While another retreat cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bullish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 153.34) holds. On the upside, above 158.06 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.70; (P) 157.38; (R1) 158.09; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation below 158.06 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 153.16) holds. On the upside, above 158.06 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.70; (P) 157.38; (R1) 158.09; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations would be seen below 158.06 temporary top first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 153.16) holds. On the upside, above 158.06 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.49; (P) 157.74; (R1) 158.14; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside despite weak momentum. Current rise from 139.57 is still in progress for 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high. On the downside, though, below 156.88 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.49; (P) 157.74; (R1) 158.14; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays mildly on the upside despite weak momentum as seen in 4H MACD. Current rise from 139.57 is still in progress for 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high. On the downside, though, below 156.88 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.32; (P) 157.70; (R1) 158.42; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rise from 139.57 is in progress for 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high. On the downside, though, below 156.88 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.32; (P) 157.70; (R1) 158.42; More…

USD/JPY’s rally is trying to resume by breaching 157.91 temporary top and intraday bias is back on the upside. Rise from 139.57 is extending to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high. On the downside, though, below 156.88 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.64; (P) 156.78; (R1) 157.61; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation below 157.91 temporary top and intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out, but outlook will stay bullish as long as 153.15 support holds. On the upside, break of 157.91 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.64; (P) 156.78; (R1) 157.61; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidations continues below 157.91 temporary top. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out, but outlook will stay bullish as long as 153.15 support holds. On the upside, break of 157.91 will resume the rally from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s rally from 139.57 resumed last week but retreated quickly after hitting 157.91. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidations. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 153.15 support holds. Break of 157.91 will target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. However, a medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 135.21).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.31; (P) 156.56; (R1) 158.68; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat and breach of 156.39 minor support. Some consolidations would be seen first, but further rally is expected as long as 153.15 support holds. On the upside, above 157.91 will resume the rise from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.31; (P) 156.56; (R1) 158.68; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for now despite current mild retreat. Current rally is part of the whole rise from 139.57, and should target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. On the downside, below 156.39 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 153.15 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.78; (P) 154.32; (R1) 155.38; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 156.74 resistance confirms resumption of whole rally from 139.57. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. On the downside, below 154.91 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 153.15 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.78; (P) 154.32; (R1) 155.38; More…

USD/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Break of 156.74 resistance should extend the whole rise from 139.57 to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. Outlook will now stay bullish as long as 153.15 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.99; (P) 153.66; (R1) 154.17; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidations below 154.47 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 151.79 minor support holds. Above 154.47 temporary top will target a retest on 156.74 high first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. However, break of 151.79 will turn bias back to the downside for 148.64 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.99; (P) 153.66; (R1) 154.17; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral and more consolidations could be seen. Further rally is expected as long as 151.79 minor support holds. Above 154.47 temporary top will target a retest on 156.74 high first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. However, break of 151.79 will turn bias back to the downside for 148.64 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.50; (P) 153.99; (R1) 154.65; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen below 154.47 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 151.79 minor support holds. Above 154.47 will target a retest on 156.74 high first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. However, break of 151.79 will turn bias back to the downside for 148.64 support next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.50; (P) 153.99; (R1) 154.65; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 148.64 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 156.74 high. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. On the downside, below 152.84 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But risk will stay on the upside as long as 148.64 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.