USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.82; (P) 140.37; (R1) 141.17; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first as it recovered just ahead of key 139.26 fibonacci level. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 143.03 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 147.20. However, decisive break of 139.26 would carry larger bearish implications, and target 61.8% projection of 161.94 to 141.67 from 149.35 at 136.82.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to contain downside, at least on first attempt. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 149.35 resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.08; (P) 140.99; (R1) 141.69; More…

Outlook in USD/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias stays on the downside. Some support could be seen from 139.26 fibonacci level to bring rebound. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 143.03 resistance holds. Decisive break of 139.26 would carry larger bearish implications, and target 61.8% projection of 161.94 to 141.67 from 149.35 at 136.82.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 149.35 resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.08; (P) 140.99; (R1) 141.69; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for 139.26 fibonacci level. Some support could be seen there to bring rebound. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 143.03 resistance holds. Decisive break of 139.26 would carry larger bearish implications, and target 61.8% projection of 161.94 to 141.67 from 149.35 at 136.82.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 149.35 resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 resumed by breaking through 141.67 support last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 139.26 fibonacci level. Decisive break there would carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, above 143.03 resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 149.35 resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. However, a medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 133.19).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.35; (P) 142.20; (R1) 142.66; More…

USD/JPY’s decline resumed by breaking through 140.70 and intraday bias is back on the downside. Further fall should be seen to 139.26 fibonacci level. Decisive break there would carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, above 143.03 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 147.20 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 148.93) holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.35; (P) 142.20; (R1) 142.66; More…

USD/JPY is staying above 140.70 temporary low despite current dip, and intraday bias stays neutral first. Outlook remains bearish as long as 147.20 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 140.70 will resume the fall from 161.94 to 140.25 support, and possibly to 139.26 fibonacci level too.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 148.93) holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.20; (P) 141.87; (R1) 143.04; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation above 140.70 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.20 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 140.70 will resume the fall from 161.94 to 140.25 support, and possibly to 139.26 fibonacci level too.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 148.93) holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.20; (P) 141.87; (R1) 143.04; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery and some consolidations would be seen first. But further decline is expected as long as 147.20 resistance holds. Break of 140.70 will resume the fall from 161.94 to 140.25 support, and possibly to 139.26 fibonacci level too.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 148.93) holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.86; (P) 142.79; (R1) 143.37; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the downside for the moment. Deeper decline would be seen to 140.25 support, and possibly further to 139.26 fibonacci level too. On the upside, above 143.70 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 148.93) holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.86; (P) 142.79; (R1) 143.37; More…

USD’s fall from 161.94 resumed by breaking through 141.76 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 140.25 support, and possibly further to 139.26 fibonacci level too. On the upside, above 143.70 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But in any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 148.93) holds. Sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.15; (P) 142.97; (R1) 144.00; More…

Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 147.20 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 141.67 will resume whole decline from 161.95 high. Next target will be 140.25 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.21) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.15; (P) 142.97; (R1) 144.00; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 147.20 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 141.67 will resume whole decline from 161.95 high. Next target will be 140.25 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.21) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.42; (P) 142.66; (R1) 143.54; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. But further decline is expected as long as 147.20 resistance holds. Decisive break of 141.67 will resume whole decline from 161.95 high. Next target will be 140.25 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.21) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.42; (P) 142.66; (R1) 143.54; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside with focus on 141.67 support. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 161.95 high, for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 144.22 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.21) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 149.35 resumed last week by breaking through 143.43 temporary low. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 141.67 support. Firm break of 141.67 support will resume whole decline from 161.95 high, for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 144.22 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.24) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. However, a medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 133.19).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.79; (P) 143.51; (R1) 144.17; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the downside for the moment. Firm break of 141.67 support will resume whole decline from 161.95 high, for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 144.22 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.24) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.79; (P) 143.51; (R1) 144.17; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for retesting 141.67 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 161.95 high, for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 144.22 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.24) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.09; (P) 144.35; (R1) 145.00; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 149.35 is in progress for retesting 141.67 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 161.95 high, for 140.25 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.24) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.09; (P) 144.35; (R1) 145.00; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 149.35 resumed by breaking through 143.43 support and intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 141.67 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 161.95 high, for 140.25 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 147.20 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.24) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.68; (P) 145.94; (R1) 146.73; More…

Range trading continues in USD/JPY in 143.43/147.20 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 143.43 support holds. Above 147.20 will target 149.35 resistance first. Firm break there will resume the rebound from 141.67 to 100% projection of 141.67 to 149.35 from 143.43 at 151.11, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94 high. However, break of 143.43 will bring retest of 141.67 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.47) holds. Nevertheless, firm break of 55 W EMA will suggest that the range for medium term corrective pattern is already set.