HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisRBNZ Indicates No Rush For Raising Rates

RBNZ Indicates No Rush For Raising Rates

General Trend:

  • Asian equities trade mostly higher
  • Shanghai Composite Property index rises over 2%
  • Reserve Bank of NZ (RBNZ) pushes back rate hike view
  • NZD/JPY declines over 1%, NZ bond yields drop over 10bps
  • New Zealand’s Fonterra said there may be a variation from its prior earnings guidance
  • Shares of Mazda, Yamaha and Suzuki decline amid emissions testing concerns
  • Various Japanese oil companies seen reporting results today
  • Japan June Machine Orders miss ests, government cuts assessment
  • Japan sells 30 yr JGBs at lower bid to cover
  • China Commerce Ministry confirmed retaliatory tariff on $16B of US goods, to take effect on Aug 23rd
  • China’s inflation accelerates in July, remains below target
  • Philippines Q2 GDP misses ests, central bank expected to hike rates later today on inflation
  • Japan prelim Q2 GDP due for release on Friday
  • New Zealand expected to sell April 2029 bonds on tomorrow’s session

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.2%
  • TOPIX Securities index -1%, Real Estate -0.7%, Retail Trade -0.4%, Marine Transportation -0.4%
  • (JP) Japan Investors Net Buying of Foreign Bonds: ¥1.17T v ¥526.5B prior; Foreign Buying of Japan Stocks: -¥225.2B v -¥63.4B prior
  • (JP) JAPAN JUN CORE MACHINE ORDERS M/M: -8.8% V -1.0%E; Y/Y: +0.3% V 10.5%E; Japan Govt cuts assessment of machine orders
  • (JP) Japan July Money Supply: M3 y/y: 2.6% v 2.7%e; M2 y/y: 3.0% v 3.1%e
  • (JP) Japan Government: Suzuki, Mazda and Yamaha Motor conducted improper tests
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥700B v ¥700B indicated in 0.7% (0.8% prior) 30-yr bonds; Avg yield: 0.850% v 0.704% prior; Bid to cover: 4.68x v 5.01x prior

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.1%
  • (KR) South Korea vegetable prices +5.4% w/w due to heatwave – Korean press

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.4%, Shanghai Composite -0.5%
  • Hang Seng Info Tech index +2.9%, Consumer Goods +1.8%, Telecom +1.6% Materials +1.6%, Financials +1.4%, Property/Construction +0.9%
  • (CN) CHINA JULY CPI M/M: +0.3% V -0.1% PRIOR; Y/Y: 2.1% V 2.0%E (matches highest reading since March)
  • (CN) CHINA JULY PPI Y/Y: 4.6% V 4.5%E
  • (CN) China said to have started evaluations of the asset management businesses of insurance companies – Chinese Press
  • (HK) Large banks in Hong Kong are expected to increase mortgage rates on Aug 13th – US financial press
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips OMO for the 15th straight session
  • (CN) CHINA PBOC SETS YUAN REFERENCE RATE AT 6.8317 V 6.8313 PRIOR
  • (CN) China Commerce Ministry confirms retaliatory tariff on $16B of US goods to take effect on Aug 23rd, reiterates stance that it was forced to retaliate (after the close yesterday)

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened flat
  • ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary index +1.5%, Financials +1.4%; Utilities -1.8%
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) LEAVES OFFICIAL CASH RATE (OCR) UNCHANGED AT 1.75%, AS EXPECTED; delays first rate increase
  • (NZ) RBNZ Gov Orr: Risk to cash rate (OCR) outlook are balanced, in no rush to move rate – post rate decision press conference
  • BHP.AU Settles class action over Samarco dam failure, to pay plaintiffs $50M with no admission of liability
  • SUN.AU Reports FY18 (A$) net 1.06B v 1.0Be; to sell Australia life insurance business to Tal Dai-ichi Life; declared special dividend of A$0.08/share
  • FCG.NZ Trading halted: Seeing variation from earnings guidance

Other Asia

  • (PH) Philippines Q2 GDP q/q: 1.3% v 1.7%e; y/y: 6.0% v 6.6%e

North America

  • US equity markets ended mixed: Dow -0.2%, S&P500 flat, Nasdaq +0.1%, Russell 2000 -0.1%
  • S&P500 Consumer Staples -0.8%; Technology +0.3%
  • RAD Agrees to terminate merger with Albertsons
  • DNB To Be Acquired by Investor Group Led by CC Capital, Cannae Holdings and Thomas H. Lee Partners for $145/shr cash or $6.9B
  • (MX) Mexico Economy Minister Guajardo: Definitely encouraged to keep on working, covering all the items that we have to cover for the NAFTA talks

Europe

  • (UK) PM May writes letter to Tory grassroots seeking support for Chequers plan – financial press

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Hang Seng +1.3%; Shanghai Composite +1.9%; Kospi -0.1%; Nikkei225 -0.1%; ASX 200 +0.5%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax +0.2%; FTSE100 +0.6%
  • EUR 1.1601-1.1619; JPY 110.71-111.44; AUD 0.7416-0.7453;NZD 0.6664-0.6763
  • Dec Gold +0.1% at $1,222/oz; Sept Crude Oil +0.1% at $67.02/brl; Sept Copper +1.1% at $2.78/lb
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