HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisNikkei Trades At Highs Not Seen Since The Early 1990s

Nikkei Trades At Highs Not Seen Since The Early 1990s

General Trend:

  • Australian banks rise as interim government report makes no specific recommendations
  • Bank of Japan expected to announce Oct bond buying schedule later today
  • BoJ Q3 Tankan Survey due for release on Monday (Oct 1st )
  • China and Hong Kong to be closed on Monday due to holiday
  • China markets to be closed next week for holiday (Oct 1-5th)

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (AU) Australia Banking Misconduct Inquiry Interim Report: No specific recommendations were made
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA AUG PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT M/M: 0.5% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 4.5% V 4.3%E
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND SEPT ANZ CONSUMER CONFIDENCE:117.6 V 117.6 PRIOR; CONSUMER CONFIDENCE M/M: 0.0% V -0.7% PRIOR
  • (NZ) New Zealand Aug Building Permits M/M: +7.8% v -10.3% prior
  • (NZ) New Zealand sells NZ$150M v NZ$150M indicated in April 2025 bonds, bid to cover: 4.8x

China/Hong Kong

  • Shanghai Composite opened +0.1%, Hang Seng +0.6%
  • (CN) China Commerce Min spokesperson: extreme pressure from US will not cripple the Chinese economy
  • (CN) China said to plan to launch additional policy to support private companies – US financial press
  • (CN) China Senior Diplomat Wang Yi: Willing to expand finance cooperation with Japan
  • (CN) China PBoC set yuan reference rate: 6.8792 v 6.8642 prior (weakest CNY fix since Aug 17th)
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips OMO v skipped prior: Net: CNY40B drain v CNY60B drain prior (drains liquidity for the 6th straight session)
  • (CN) China Finance Ministry (MOF) said to hire banks for possible US dollar denominated bond sale – US financial press

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +1.2%
  • (JP) JAPAN AUG PRELIMINARY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: 0.7% V 1.4%E; Y/Y: 0.6% V 1.5%E
  • (JP) JAPAN AUG JOBLESS RATE: 2.4% V 2.5%E
  • (JP) JAPAN AUG RETAIL SALES M/M: 0.9% V 0.5%E; RETAIL TRADE Y/Y: 2.7% V 2.0%E
  • (JP) JAPAN AUG ANNUALIZED HOUSING STARTS: 957K V 947KE; Y/Y: 1.6% V 0.4%E
  • (JP) Japan Sept Tokyo CPI Y/Y: 1.3% v 1.1%e; Core CPI (Ex Fresh Food) Y/Y: 1.0% v 0.9%e
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BoJ) Summary of Opinions for Sept 18-19 Monetary Policy Meeting: Reiterates must maintain powerful easing patiently
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ2.1T v ÂĄ2.1T indicated in 0.10% 2-yr JGBs, avg yield -0.1120% v -0.1120% prior, bid to cover 4.37x v 5.26x prior

Korea

  • Kospi opened flat
  • (KR) South Korea Sept Consumer Confidence: 101.7 v 99.2 prior
  • (SK) South Korea Aug Dept. Store Sales Y/Y: 2.4% v 2.9% prior; Discount Store Sales Y/Y: -1.2% v -2.5% prior

North America

  • US equity markets closed mostly higher: Dow +0.2%, S&P500 +0.3%, Nasdaq +0.7%, Russell 2000 -0.1%
  • (CA) Bank of Canada (BOC) Gov Poloz: higher rates wll be warranted to achieve inflation target
  • (US) US Senator Cornyn: Senate Judiciary Committee to vote tomorrow (Friday) on Supreme Court Nominee Kavanaugh

Europe

  • (IT) Italy Interior Min Salvini: tax cuts and pension reforms are agreed upon; will not raise sales tax in budget plan; agreed on 2019 deficit at 2.4% of GDP
  • (IT) Italy Pres said to have requested that Fin Min Tria stay on as finance minister – Italian press
  • (EU) ECB’s Praet (Belgium, chief economist): there are signs that valuations are stretched in specific market sectors
  • (UK) Germany Chancellor Merkel: UK needs to clarify its proposals in Brexit talks; Have not ruled out Weidmann ECB President candidacy; have a high opinion of Weidmann
  • (UK) UK Citizens would vote 52% to 48% to remain in the EU in a new Brexit referendum – Poll by Natcen
  • (UK) UK Sept GfK Consumer Confidence: -9 v -8e

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Nikkei 225, +1.3%, ASX 200 +0.8%, Hang Seng +0.4%; Shanghai Composite +0.9%; Kospi -0.4%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax flat; FTSE100 +0.1%
  • EUR 1.1650-1.1631; JPY 113.65-113.33 ; AUD 0.7219-0.7201 ;NZD 0.6620-0.6598
  • Dec Gold flat at $1,187/oz; Oct Crude Oil +0.2% at $72.27/brl; Dec Copper +0.4% at $2.787/lb
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