General Trend:
- Property index declines in Shanghai, Geely drops over 10% on sales figures
- Banks and shares of Softbank rise in Japan; Softbank drastically cuts its investment in WeWork
- China skips open market operations for the second day
- Samsung guides Q4 results below ests, warns of a weaker start in 2019; shares swing between gains and losses
- Few comments have been seen from US and China trade officials, talks are due to end today
- Press articles comment on the impact of the partial US government shutdown on the SEC
- UK and EU officials said to be in talks about possibly extending Article 50 Brexit process
Headlines/Economic Data
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +0.9%
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ): Q3 output gap 1.24% v 1.6% q/q (first decline since 2016)
- (JP) Japan Finance Min Aso: Market volatility has been high since late in 2018; will need to continue watching markets with ‘sense of urgency’
- WEWORK.IPO Softbank to reduce its planned investment in WeWork to $2B (down from $16B in earlier plans) – FT
- 4565.JP To receive $15M milestone payment from AstraZeneca with first partnered program moving towards Phase 2 [+16%]
- 6758.JP PS4 holiday sales 5.6M units, has now sold 91.6M units worldwide since release, 2018 holiday season sales over 5.6M units v 5.9M y/y
- 7201.JP Former Chairman Ghosn denies wrong doing in court: no loss to Nissan from derivatives contract
- (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ2.2T v ÂĄ2.2T indicated in 0.10% (prior 0.10%) 10-yr JGBs, avg yield 0.015% v 0.074% prior, bid to cover 4.04x v 3.82x prior
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ): Q3 output gap 1.24% v 1.6% q/q (first decline since 2016)
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.1%
- 05930.KR Reports Prelim Q4 (KRW) Op 10.8T v 13.8Te, Rev 59.0T v 63.6Te; comments: Earnings to remain subdued in Q1 due to memory, Q4 memory earnings fell significantly q/q
- (KR) South Korea Nov Current Account: $5.1B v $9.2B prior; Balance of Good (BOP): $7.9B v $11.0B prior
- (KR) North Korean train possibly carrying North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un crossed into China Monday, to visit from Jan 7-10th on invitation of China President Xi – Yonhap
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opened +0.1%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%
- (CN) CHINA DEC FOREIGN RESERVES: $3.073T V $3.072TE; gold holdings rise for 1st time since Oct 2016 (after the close yesterday)
- (CN) China Vice Premier Liu He unexpectedly attended US/China trade talks, which were scheduled to be at a vice ministerial level from the MOFCOM – press
- (HK) Hong Kong office landlords are now requiring 6-9 months worth of rent up front v the standard 3-months due to tenants backing out of their leases – SCMP
- 175.HK Reports Dec Sales 93.3K units -39% y/y [-11% in the session]
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips OMO operations for the second consecutive day; Net: CNY20B drain v CNY170B drain prior
- (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate: 6.8402 v 6.8517 prior
- (CN) China State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE): China Dec foreign reserve increase due to stronger non-dollar denominated currencies, price spikes of treasury bonds of major countries, as well as asset price changes – Chinese press
- (CN) Former PBOC Governor Zhou: monetary policy still has room for quantitative adjustment, and will continue to support economic growth, the job market, and investment in the interest of maintaining price stability – Chinese press
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.1%
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV TRADE BALANCE (A$): 1.9B V 2.2BE; Exports m/m: 1% v 1% prior ; Imports m/m: 2% v 3% prior
- BOQ.AU Raises mortgage rates on certain loans by 11-18bps due to funding pressures and deposit competition
- (AU) Australia Dec Foreign Reserves: A$76.3B v A$66.0B prior
North America
- (US) Fed’s Mester (hawk, non-voter in 2019): Fed could adjust its portfolio runoff if it proves more disruptive than anticipated for markets
- (CA) Canada PM Trudeau and President Trump discussed steel tariffs, will seek release of Canadians from China
- ILMN Reports prelim Q4 Rev ~$865M v $861Me; guides initial FY19 $6.50-6.60 v $6.39e; Rev $3.76-3.80B v $3.8Be – slides
- (US) White House Economic Advisor Hassett: There will be ‘some’ economic impact from partial government shutdown, tax refunds will be issued during shutdown – US media
Europe
- (UK) UK and European leaders said to be in talks over possibly extending Article 50 Brexit process – UK’s Telegraph
- (UK) Downing Street spokesperson: PM May has always said would be willing to leave the EU on March 29, 2019 and would not extend Article 50
- (DE) Trump administration downgraded diplomatic status of the European Union’s delegation to the United States from member state to international organization at the end of last year without notice – German press
- Levels as of 12:50ET
– Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai Composite -0.4%; Kospi -0.4%; Nikkei225 +1.0%; ASX 200 +0.7% - Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.2%; Nasdaq100 +0.2%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 +0.0%
- EUR 1.1485-1.1432; JPY 108.99-108.52; AUD 0.7149-0.7122; NZD 0.6758-0.6738
- Feb Gold -0.5% at $1,283/oz; Feb Crude Oil 0.0% at $48.53/brl; Mar Copper -0.3% at $2.63/lb