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Trump To Delay Higher Tariffs On China

General Trend:

  • Shanghai Composite rises to highest level since Aug 1, 2018 on progress in US trade talks
  • US President Trump agrees to delay implementation of China trade tariffs, originally scheduled for March 1st
  • UK PM May reportedly considering plan that would delay Brexit by 2-months; rules out meaningful vote on EU withdrawal in commons this week
  • Shenzhen Telecom index up over 5.5%, supported by ZTE
  • Equity markets in Japan supported by Electric/Appliances, Financials, Iron/Steel and Machinery shares.
  • Financials in Australia lag amid speculated banking levy
  • Bluescope Steel rises over 5% post earnings, sees FY19 EBIT up approx. 10%
  • Lend Lease declines over 4% in Australia, H1 profits declined
  • Yuan (CNY) gains on tariff delay, Trump confirmed progress was made on issues including currency
  • Officials from China are scheduled to go back to Beijing on Monday.
  • US retailer earnings in focus this week
  • The second Trump/Kim summit is expected to be held in Vietnam from Feb 27-28th.

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.7%
  • (JP) Japan stock market is expected to host ~90 IPOs in 2019 v 90 in 2018 – Nikkei
  • (JP) Japan Jan PPI Services y/y: 1.1% v 1.1%e
  • 8306.JP Labor union expected to request first base pay increase in 4 years – Japanese Press
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe Adviser Hamada: BoJ can abandon 2% inflation target as it is not absolutely crucial
  • (JP) Japan Dec Final Leading Economic Index: 97.5 v 97.9 prelim; Coincident Index: 101.8 v 102.3 prelim

Korea

  • Kospi opens +0.5%
  • (KR) South Korea to offer firms incentives such as tax cuts, discounts on rental fees in industrial parks for job creating investment – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea sells KRW598B in 20-yr Govt bonds; avg yield 2.065% v 2.17% prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opens +0.6%; Shanghai Composite opens +1.2%
  • (CN) President Trump: Made progress with China in the areas of intellectual property (IP), technology, currency and agriculture as well as many other areas; delay to March 1st implement tariff on China goods is due to productive talks
  • (CN) US and China said to remain apart on issues related to enforcement and some structural issues; US Trade Rep Lighthizer: progress has been made on structural issues, but major hurdles remain – US financial press
  • (CN) China Trade Delegation: Confirms substantial progress made on issues such as tech transfer, intellectual property rights, non-tariff barriers, service industry, agricultural and currency
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY40B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY40B injected in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net: CNY40B injected v CNY40B injection prior
  • (CN) China PBoC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 6.7131 v 6.7151 prior
  • (CN) New third stock board in China said to see ‘strong’ financing growth in Jan – financial press
  • 2318.HK Planning a $1.0B Hong Kong IPO for fintech unit, OneConnect, in H2 this year
  • HUAWEI.CN US President Trump said to be planning to hold talks on dropping criminal charges against Huawei – SCMP

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.2%
  • (AU) Australia Labor leader Bill Shorten expected to announce a A$640M levy on banks and financial service companies to fund support for banking misconduct victims – Aussie press
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 RETAIL SALES (EX INFLATION) Q/Q: 1.7% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 3.5% V 2.7% PRIOR
  • BSL.AU Reports H1 (A$) Net 624.3M v 441.2M y/y; EBITDA 1.06B v B y/y; Rev 6.40B v 5.48B y/y
  • (AU) Australia sells A$400M v A$400M indicated in 3.25% June 21 2039 bonds, avg yield 2.5125% , bid to cover 2.66x
  • LLC.AU Reports H1 (A$) Net 15.7M v 425.6M y/y; EBITDA 83.1M v 720.6M y/y; Rev 7.77B v 8.63B y/y
  • BXB.AU Enters agreement to sell IFCO to Triton and Luxinva for enterprise value of $2.51B; to return $1.95B to shareholders through special dividend and buyback

Other Asia

  • AAPL Suppliers in Taiwan for iPhone 6s said to receive rush orders due to strong sales in India -Taiwan Press
  • (SG) Singapore Jan CPI M/M: -0.3% v 0.1%e; Y/Y: 0.4% v 0.6%e; Core CPI Y/Y: 1.7% v 1.8%e; Singapore Govt cuts 2019 headline CPI forecast to 0.5-1.5% (prior 1-2%), keeps core CPI outlook

North America

  • BRK.A Reports Q4 Net earnings per A share -$15,467* v +$19,790 y/y, Rev $63.7B v $58.9B y/y

Europe

  • (UK) PM May considering plan that would delay Brexit by 2-months; rules out meaningful vote on EU withdrawal in commons this week – Telegraph

Levels as of 12:50ET

  • Hang Seng +0.2%; Shanghai Composite +3.9%; Kospi +0.0%; Nikkei225 +0.5%; ASX 200 +0.3%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.2%; Nasdaq100 +0.3%, Dax +0.3%; FTSE100 +0.1%
  • EUR 1.1325-1.1350; JPY 110.58-110.86; AUD 0.7134-0.7162; NZD 0.6853-0.6884
  • Commodity Futures: Gold -0.0% at $1,332/oz; Crude Oil -0.3% at $57.11/brl; Copper +0.0% at $2.95/lb
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