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Japan And Singapore Exports To China Rebound

General Trend:

  • Shanghai property and health care indices outperform in early trade
  • Securities brokers and Softbank rise in Japan
  • China President Xi and President Trump meeting may be delayed until June
  • Financials weigh on Australian market, Resources firms rise
  • US Fed to hold policy meeting March 19-20 (Tuesday-Wed)
  • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to release March meeting minutes on Tuesday
  • NZIER cuts its near-term growth and 90-day bank bill rate forecasts for NZ

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.1%
  • (AU) According to Deloitte Access Economics: Australia Morrison govt could spend up to A$12.0B/yr to deliver bigger personal income tax cuts and help it pass the “fairness” test with low to middle income voters – AFR
  • (NZ) New Zealand Feb Performance of Services Index: 53.8 v 56.3 prior
  • (NZ) New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) Quarterly Outlook: Lowers 2019 GDP outlook
  • CIM.AU Thiess unit awarded A$1.7B contract in Botswana
  • (AU) Australia sells A$600M v A$600M indicated in 3.25% April 2029 bonds, avg yield 1.9691%, bid to cover 4.12x

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.6%
  • 7201.JP Renault, Nissan and Mitsubishi alliance to re-examine sales target of 14M cars worldwide by 2022 – Nikkei
  • (JP) JAPAN FEB TRADE BALANCE: ÂĄ339.0B V ÂĄ305.1BE; ADJ TRADE BALANCE: ÂĄ116.1B V +ÂĄ86.0BE; Exports: YoY -1.2% v -0.6%e ; Imports: YoY: -6.7% v -6.4%e
  • (RU) Russia Pres Putin: Japan Russia peace treaty talks need a “short rest” if Japan is unwilling to withdraw from security cooperation pact with US over disputed islands – Nikkei
  • 7203.JP President Toyoda: To invest $749M in 5 US plants to increase capacity and add hybrid SUV lines; will not leave the US – Speech at Economic Club of Washington
  • 7201.JP Considering getting rid of chairman position, will announce its official proposal on March 27th – Japan press
  • (JP) Japan Jan Final Industrial Production M/M -3.4% v -3.7% prelim; Y/Y: 0.3% v 0.0% prelim

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.1%
  • (KR) South Korea Feb Offshore Investors net bought KRW1.64T in domestic stocks v buying KRW3.74T prior (3rd consecutive month of net buying)
  • (KR) According to US monitor there is little to no activity is spotted at North Korea main nuclear facility in Yongbyon and its nuclear testing site in Punggye-ri
  • (KR) South Korea coast guard sizes China fishing boat for not complying with stop order and suspected illegal fishing – Yonhap
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) sells KRW250B in 6-month Monetary Stabilization Bonds (MSB), avg yield 1.81% b 1.82% prior
  • (KR) South Korea sells KRW1.75T v 1.75T indicated in 10-yr Treasury Bonds; avg yield 1.99% v 1.985% prior; bid to cover 2.94x v 2.76x prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.4%; Shanghai Composite opened +0.2%
  • (CN) Meeting between China President Xi and US President Trump now may be delayed to June (Originally through to be this month at Maralargo) – SCMP
  • (US) US Border Patrol: Seized 450,000 kg of pork smuggled into US from China; possibly infected with African Swine flu
  • (CN) China issued specific rules related to tax exemptions which seek to lower the amount of individual income tax paid on incomes earned overseas – Xinhua
  • (CN) China to allow local governments to set their own property tax rates – financial press
  • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate: 6.7088 v 6.7167 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): To inject CNY60B in 7-day reverse repos v CNY20B in 7-day prior; Net: CNY60B injection v CNY20B injected prior
  • (CN) Feb sales for China major excavator producers totaled 18.8K units, +68.7% y/y – Xinhua
  • (KR) China reviewing President Xi’s possible visit to North Korea in April – Korean press

Other Asia

  • (SG) SINGAPORE FEB NON-OIL DOMESTIC EXPORTS M/M: 16.0% V +4.3%E; Y/Y: 4.9% V -1.6%E; Electronic Exports y/y: -8.0% v -15.9% prior

North America

  • BA US Transport Dept. to probe the FAA’s approval of the Max 737, will focus on anti-stall system – US financial press
  • BA Reportedly Ethiopian Airlines plane that crashed had unusually high speed after takeoff – press Note: Ethiopian transport ministry says black box data shows similarities to Indonesian crash
  • GM Trump Tweet: “Because the economy is so good, General Motors must get their Lordstown, Ohio, plant open, maybe in a different form or with a new owner, FAST! Toyota is investing 13.5 $Billion in U.S., others likewise. G.M. MUST ACT QUICKLY. Time is of the essence!”

Europe

  • DBK.DE Confirms talks with Commerzbank, also reviewing strategic options
  • (UK) Various ministers indicate that PM May could cancel Brexit vote this week if there is not enough support – Telegraph
  • (ES) Bank of Spain Gov Hernandez de Cos: there is currently no risk of recession in Europe or Spain – financial press
  • (UK) Mar Rightmove House Prices M/M: 0.4% v 0.7% prior; y/y: -0.8% v 0.2% prior
  • (UK) British Chambers Of Commerce (BCC): Cuts 2019 and 2020 GDP growth forecasts: Cuts 2019 GDP growth forecast from 1.3% to 1.2%; Cuts 2020 GDP growth forecast from 1.5% to 1.3%

Levels as of 01:20ET

  • Hang Seng +0.8%; Shanghai Composite +1.3%; Kospi +0.0%; Nikkei225 +0.6%; ASX 200 +0.3%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.0%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax -0.0%; FTSE100 +0.2%
  • EUR 1.1319-1.1339; JPY 111.46-111.64; AUD 0.7078-0.7116; NZD 0.6840-0.6867
  • Commodity Futures: Gold -0.3% at $1,299/oz; Crude Oil -0.4% at $58.59/brl; Copper +0.3% at $2.92/lb
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