HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisGold Rebounds After Sharp Losses, US Consumer Confidence Shines

Gold Rebounds After Sharp Losses, US Consumer Confidence Shines

Gold has posted gains in the Tuesday session, recovering some of the losses from Monday. In the North American session, the spot price for an ounce of gold is $1331.42, up 0.48% on the day. In the US, CB Consumer Confidence jumped to 128.7, beating the estimate of 126.0 points. US New Home Sales also looked sharp, jumping to 694 thousand and crushing the estimate of 625 thousand. This marked a 4-month high. However, manufacturing data was not as strong, as Richmond Manufacturing Index dropped 3 points, well off the estimate of a 16-point gain. This was the first contraction since October 2016.

Gold started the trading week with considerable losses, as higher yields for 10-year US treasury bills pushed the dollar broadly higher. The yields rose to 2.99% on Monday and punched above the symbolic 3% level on Tuesday. With oil pushing above $70 a barrel, there are concerns that inflation will rise, which has pushed bond prices lower and yields upwards. The dollar has also benefitted from a reduction in geopolitical risk, with an easing of tensions between North and South Korea, and a lull in the conflict in Syria. Still, gold has reversed directions on Tuesday and gained back much of the Monday losses.

The trade battle between China and the US has become a geopolitical hotspot, dominating the headlines and shaken global markets. After a series of tit-for-tat tariffs between the economic giants, there has been widespread concern that these moves could lead to a trade war which would slow down Chinese growth and trigger a global recession. However, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin sought to lower the rhetoric on the weekend, saying that he was considering a trip to China, adding he was “cautiously optimistic” that the two sides could resolve the trade dispute. The markets will be hoping for a truce between the sides, as any further tariffs are sure to spook investors, which would likely boost gold, a traditional safe-haven in times of crisis.

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