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Gold Price Trading Near Make-Or-Break Levels

Key Highlights

  • Gold price seems to be struggling to hold the $1,450 support area against the US Dollar.
  • A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $1,463 on the 4-hours chart of XAU/USD.
  • The US Goods Trade deficit was $-66.53 B in Oct 2019, down from the last $-70.55 B.
  • The US GDP is likely to grow 1.9% in Q3 2019 (Preliminary).

Gold Price Technical Analysis

This past week, gold price started a fresh decline after it failed to climb above the $1,480 resistance against the US Dollar. The price traded below the $1,465 support area and tested the $1,450 support zone.

The 4-hours chart of XAU/USD indicates that the price traded as low as $1,451 and settled well below both the 100 simple moving average (4-hours, red) and the 200 simple moving average (4-hours, green).

It is currently consolidating losses above the $1,450 support area. On the upside, the first key resistance is near the $1,460-$1,462 area. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,473 high to $1,451 low.

Moreover, there is a major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $1,463 on the 4-hours chart of XAU/USD. Above the trend line resistance, the 100 SMA is waiting to prevent gains near the $1,473 level.

If there is a successful close above $1,473, gold price could attempt to climb above the $1,480 resistance area. Conversely, the price may perhaps continue to move down below the $1,450 and $1,445 support levels.

Looking at EUR/USD, the pair is struggling to correct above the 1.1040 and 1.1050 resistance levels. Moreover, GBP/USD failed to climb above the 1.2900 resistance area and declined recently.

Economic Releases to Watch Today

  • US Initial Jobless Claims – Forecast 221K, versus 227K previous.
  • US Durable Goods Orders for Oct 2019 – Forecast -0.8% versus -1.2% previous.
  • US Gross Domestic Product Q3 2019 (Preliminary) – Forecast 1.9% versus previous 1.9%.
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