HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisNZDUSD Meets Support at 38.2% Fibo

NZDUSD Meets Support at 38.2% Fibo

  • NZDUSD is in a steady decline since early June
  • Completion of golden cross fails to trigger a recovery
  • Oscillators are tilted to the bearish side

NZDUSD had been in an aggressive uptrend following its 2024 bottom of 0.5851 in mid-April, surging to a six-month high of 0.6220 in June. However, the pair has come under severe selling pressure since then, with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) preventing further declines for now.

Should the bears attempt to push the price lower, immediate support could be found at 0.6048, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 0.6368-0.5851 downleg. Lower, the 23.6% Fibo of 0.5972 could provide downside protection. A violation of that zone could open the door for the 2024 low of 0.5851.

Alternatively, if the pair stages a recovery, the 50.0% Fibo of 0.6109 could prove to be the first barricade for the bulls to overcome. Further advances could then cease at the 61.8% Fibo of 0.6170 ahead of the six-month peak of 0.6220. Even higher, the 78.6% Fibo of 0.6257 could curb the pair’s upside.

In brief, NZDUSD has been undergoing a pullback in the short term, while the completion of a golden cross between the 50- and 200-day SMAs has failed to reverse this slide. Nevertheless, things could get even worse in the case that the price breaks decisively below its 200-day SMA.

XM is a fully regulated next-generation financial services provider of online trading on currency exchange, commodities, equity indices, precious metals and energies, with services to clients from over 196 countries worldwide. Founded in 2009 by market experts with extensive knowledge of the global forex and capital markets and with the aim to ensure fair and reliable trading conditions for every client, XM has reached international recognition by virtue of its unbeatable execution of orders, spreads as low as zero pips on over 50 currency pairs, gold and silver, flexible leverage up to 888:1, and personalized customer engagement to foster clients’ success.

Featured Analysis

Learn Forex Trading