Mon, Mar 27, 2023 @ 17:07 GMT
HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisDaily Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Bearish Divergence Creates Bullish Break Above 1.06

Daily Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Bearish Divergence Creates Bullish Break Above 1.06

Currency pair EUR/USD

The EUR/USD is finally breaking above the resistance trendline (dotted red) after having built divergence between the bottoms (purple line). This bullish breakout could spark a retracement within wave 2 vs 1 (green).

The EUR/USD built a corrective ABC (pink) zigzag as expected to the Fibonacci levels of wave X (orange). Price turned at the 61.8% Fibonacci support level and then broke above the mini trendline (dotted orange). Price is now probably heading towards 1.07, which is the 38.2% Fib of wave 2 vs 1 on the 4 hour chart.

Currency pair GBP/USD

The GBP/USD bullish breakout is still pushing to higher levels within a wave Y (blue), but the price is approaching larger resistance levels (brown/red). This decision zone could see a bearish bounce and turn, whereas a break above the previous top of the triangle (red line) would invalidate wave E (green).

The GBP/USD is probably building another 5 wave pattern (purple) within wave 5 (pink). The wave 4 (purple) is invalidated if the price manages to retrace deeper than the top of wave 1 (green line).

Currency pair USD/JPY

The USD/JPY bearish breakout is so far not showing any signs of slowing down, despite the fact that price is near a 50% Fibonacci level of wave 4 (purple). A strong push below 109 would make a continuation towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement likely (plus a new wave structure).

The USD/JPY could soon show divergence between the two bottom, which is typical for a wave 3 and 5 wave structure (purple). Price has also reached the bottom of the channel (green line), which could act as a support level. A bullish bounce above 108.50 could still be considered a reaction to the 50% Fibonacci level of wave 4 vs 3.

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