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Eurozone PMIs: Overall growth remains subdued, pace restricted by uncertainty and risk aversion

Eurozone PMI Manufacturing rose to 47.8 in June, up from 47.7 but missed expectation of 48.0. It’s also staying well below 50 level. PMI Services rose to 53.4, up from 52.9 and beat expectation of 53.0. It’s the highest level in 7 months. PMI Composite rose to 52.1, up from 51.8, also the highest in 7 months.

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit said:

“The eurozone economy picked up further momentum in June, with the headline PMI rising from the lows seen earlier in the year to hint that the worst of the current slowdown may be behind us. However, the overall rate of expansion remains weak, with the survey data indicative of eurozone growth of just over 0.2% in the second quarter.

“However, growth trends between the core and the periphery have widened. Germany and France are both showing improved performances compared to earlier in the year as one-off factors (such as the political unrest in France) continue to drop out of the picture, but the data highlight a growing concern that the rest of the region is sliding closer towards stagnation.

“Growth also remains very much dependent on the service sector, which in turn largely reflects the relative strength of domestic consumer demand and improving labour markets. Manufacturing, in contrast, remains in a steep downturn which is only showing tentative signs of moderating.

“The overall rate of growth consequently remains subdued, and a further deterioration in business confidence about the year ahead suggests the pace of expansion will continue to be restrained by uncertainty and risk aversion. Concerns about weaker economic growth at home and in export markets, rising geopolitical risks and trade wars continue to dominate the picture and dampen business spending, investment and sentiment.”

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