Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6913; (P) 0.6939; (R1) 0.6953; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for retesting 0.6864. Corrective recovery from 0.6864 should have completed at 0.7022 after rejection by 55 day EMA. Break of 0.6864 will resume the decline fro 0.7295 for retesting 0.6722 low. On the upside, above 0.6965 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

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In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.


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