AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7371; (P) 0.7421; (R1) 0.7490; More…

The rebound from 0.7158 extends higher and strong break of 28.2% retracement of 0.7777 to 0.7518 at 0.7394 suggests that fall from 0.7777 is completed. Intraday bias stays on the upside and further rally would now be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.7541 and above. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.7777/7833 to limit upside. On the downside, below 0.7351 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7144 key support level.

In the bigger picture, AUD/USD is staying inside long term falling channel and it’s likely that the down trend from 1.1079 is still in progress. Break of 0.6826 low will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 0.9504 to 0.6826 from 0.7777 at 0.6122 next. We’ll be looking for bottoming sign again as it approaches 0.6008 key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.7833 resistance will be a strong sign of medium term reversal.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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