AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s late breach of 0.6362 support indicates down trend resumption. Initial bias is now on the downside this week. Next target is 100% projection of 0.7660 to 0.6680 from 0.7135 at 0.6155. On the upside, break of 0.6539 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend form 0.8006 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 0.6680 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 0.5506 low. Medium term momentum will now be closely monitored to gauge the chance of break of 0.5506.

In the long term picture, current medium term downside momentum raises the chance of resumption of long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). It’s still a bit early to judge the chance. But break of 0.5506 will target 0.4773 (2001 low).

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