Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5880; (P) 1.5935; (R1) 1.5990; More….
No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. With 1.6154 minor resistance intact, fall from 1.6765 is expected to extend lower. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.5346 to 1.6765 at 1.5888 will pave the way to 1.5346 key support level. On the upside, however, break of 1.6154 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6765.
In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high), argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low), is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.
