EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5682; (P) 1.5758; (R1) 1.5799; More

EUR/AUD drops to as low as 1.5683 today. Break of 1.5721 support indicates resumption of decline from 1.6765. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.6765 to 1.5721 from 1.6122 at 1.5477. On the upside, break of 1.5853 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

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