EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1644; (P) 1.1676; (R1) 1.1732; More…

Intraday bias remains on the upside in EUR/CHF. The rebound from 1.1366 is expected to extend higher. But such rebound is seen as a corrective move, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. On the downside, below 1.1618 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1478 support and below to extend the corrective pattern from 1.2004. However, sustained trading above 1.1760 will pave the way to retest 1.2004 high next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

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