Thu, Jul 29, 2021 @ 13:30 GMT

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0932; (P) 1.0941; (R1) 1.0950; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.0915 cluster support (38.2% retracement 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0903) intact, we’re still seeing price actions from 1.1149 as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 1.1026 resistance would argue that larger up trend is ready to resume and bring retest of 1.1149 first. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.0903/15 will suggest bearish reversal, or at least bring deeper fall to next cluster support zone at 1.0737 support zone (61.8% retracement at 1.0751).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed,. Rejection by 55 month EMA would also keep long term outlook bearish.

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