EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0321; (P) 1.0394; (R1) 1.0432; More….

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.0610 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.0298 low. Decisive break there will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0936 to 1.0298 from 1.0610 at 1.0216. On the upside, above 1.0435 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0667) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

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