Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1914; (P) 1.1935; (R1) 1.1972; More…
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the upside for further rebound. But break of 1.2004 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more consolidation would be seen with risk of another decline. In case of deeper pullback, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790 to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, decisive break of 1.2004 will confirm up trend resumption.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Break of 1.1445 will be an indication of medium term reversal and will turn outlook bearish.
