EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP surged to as high as 0.9190 and formed a temporary top there before turning into consolidation. The break of 0.9101 key resistance carries larger bullish implication. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 0.8891 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 0.9190 will resume recent rise for 0.9305 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that corrective fall from 0.9305 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8472. And, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) is ready to resume. Break of 0.9305 will target 0.9799 (2008 high) and then 61.8% projection of 0.6935 to 0.9305 from 0.8472 at 0.9937. In any case, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.8472 support holds.

In the long term picture, we’re holding on to the view that rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is resuming the up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). As long as 0.8472 support holds, further rise should be seen through 0.9305 to 0.9799 and above down the road.

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