EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP failed to break through 0.8612 resistance last week and stayed in sideway trading. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.8612 will resume the whole rise from 0.8448 for 0.8668 key structural resistance. Sustained break there will be a strong sign of larger bullish reversal. On the downside, however, break of 0.8499 support will bring another fall towards 0.8448 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9499 (2020 high) are still seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.8668 resistance holds, towards long term support at 0.8276. However, firm break of 0.8668 resistance would argue that a medium term bottom was already formed. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.8861 support turned resistance to confirm completion of the corrective pattern.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8276 support holds. Break of 0.9499 is in favor at a later stage, to resume the up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low).

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