Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.62; (P) 124.91; (R1) 125.36; More….
EUR/JPY’s break of 125.34 minor resistance argues that pull back from 127.50 has completed at 124.27, after defending 124.23 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 124.10).Ner term bullishness is so far retained. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 127.50 resistance first. On the downside, however, decisive break of 124.10/23 should confirm completion of whole rebound from 118.61. Deeper fall should at least be seen to 61.8% retracement at 122.01 and below. In this case, the chance of resuming larger down trend will also increase.
In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case. And in such case, the down trend from 137.49 could possibly resume through 118.62.
