EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.21; (P) 126.51; (R1) 126.76; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 126.26 minor support suggests that consolidation from 127.48 has started the third leg already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 125.07 support. We’d expect some strong support from there to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 127.48 high will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

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