Sun, Oct 24, 2021 @ 01:16 GMT

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s retreat from 130.73 continued last week but stayed above 129.57 minor support. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 130.73 will resume the rebound from 127.91 low. That would also reaffirm the case that correction from 134.11 has completed at 127.91. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 132.68 resistance next. However, firm break of 129.57 will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

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