EUR/JPY reversed after hitting 133.13 and dropped sharply from there. The development suggests that corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 128.23 support. Break will target 127.36 and below. On the upside break of 133.13 will bring retest of 134.11 high.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.
In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.
