Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1250; (P) 1.1267 (R1) 1.1294; More….

EUR/USD dips further today but it’s staying well above 1.1109 support. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. With 1.1109 intact, further rally is in favor. Decisive break of 1.1298 will carry larger bullish implication and target 1.1615 resistance next. However, break of 1.1109 will indicate short term topping and rejection from 1.1298. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0838 support first.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0888). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.

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EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart


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