EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1191; (P) 1.1223; (R1) 1.1259; More……

EUR/USD’s strong rise suggests that pull back from 1.1347 has completed at 1.1181 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.1347 resistance first. Break there will add to the case of medium term bottoming and target 1.1660 key fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, a medium term bottom could be in place at 1.1107 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Hence, for now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.1107 low holds. Break of 1.1347 will extend the rebound towards 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1107 at 1.1660. However, sustained break of 1.1107 will confirm resumption of down trend from 1.2555.

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