EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1776; (P) 1.1808; (R1) 1.1857; More…..

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1830 resistance suggests resumption of rebound from 1.1612. Intraday bias is back on the upside and further rise would be seen to retest 1.2011 high. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2011 to limit upside, to bring another falling leg to extend a consolidation pattern. But strong break there would resume larger rally from 1.0635. On the downside, break of 1.1759 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

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